Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Lucas Fernando
Full career not yet synced for Lucas Fernando — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500
Rafael Tobias
Full career not yet synced for Rafael Tobias — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Lucas Fernando
Distance 96.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 0.9% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 10.6%)
Rafael Tobias
Distance 86.6% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.1% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 8.3% (norm 10.6%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Lucas Fernando
Head 69.6% (norm 78.5%) · Body 17.4% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 13.0% (norm 9.7%)
Rafael Tobias
Head 84.7% (norm 78.5%) · Body 9.6% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 9.7%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Fernando L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med | Tobias L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 66 / 111 | 59.5% | 41.5% | 37 / 136 | 27.2% | 41.5% |
| In the clinch | 1 / 1 | too few to rate | 70.8% | 5 / 8 | too few to rate | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 2 / 3 | too few to rate | 72.9% | 10 / 13 | too few to rate | 72.9% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 37 / 80 | 46.2% | 39.2% | 34 / 133 | 25.6% | 39.2% |
| To the body | 18 / 20 | too few to rate | 72.0% | 12 / 15 | too few to rate | 72.0% |
| To the legs | 14 / 15 | too few to rate | 82.1% | 6 / 9 | too few to rate | 82.1% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Fernando L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med | vs Tobias L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 11 / 52 | 21.2% | 40.6% | 147 / 233 | 63.1% | 40.6% |
| In the clinch | 1 / 2 | too few to rate | 68.8% | 6 / 7 | too few to rate | 68.8% |
| On the ground | 1 / 2 | too few to rate | 70.4% | 10 / 18 | too few to rate | 70.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 5 / 47 | 10.6% | 37.7% | 70 / 151 | 46.4% | 37.7% |
| To the body | 5 / 5 | too few to rate | 72.9% | 55 / 67 | 82.1% | 72.9% |
| To the legs | 3 / 4 | too few to rate | 83.1% | 38 / 40 | 95.0% | 83.1% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tobias has more cage time on record.