BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Lauren Murphy vs.
Mara Romero Borella

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-7-0 Lauren Murphy · UFC
2-5-0 Mara Romero Borella · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-7-0
UFC record
2-5-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
43
AgeΔ 2.8 yrs
40.2
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
67"
ReachΔ 2"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
12.8
Layoff (months)Δ 57.7 mo
70.5
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mara Romero Borella hunts takedowns — 1.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Mara Romero Borella defends head shots well — opponents land just 20%, vs a 35% Women's Flyweight norm.
Lauren Murphy absorbs 5.19 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.81 Women's Flyweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Lauren Murphy

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Mara Romero Borella

Full career not yet synced for Mara Romero Borella — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8643.94/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
1672.54/min · norm 3.91
11375.19/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
1632.48/min · norm 3.81
38.5%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
38.0%norm 44.9%
56.8%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
71.2%norm 55.95%
10.07/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Lauren Murphy

Distance 87.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.4% (norm 4.9%)

Mara Romero Borella

Distance 91.4% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 4.1% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Lauren Murphy

Head 87.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 7.3% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.7%)

Mara Romero Borella

Head 80.7% (norm 78.1%) · Body 4.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 14.5% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Murphy L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Borella L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 628 / 1960 32.0% 39.9% 137 / 402 34.1% 39.9%
In the clinch 129 / 163 79.1% 73.3% 13 / 18 too few to rate 73.3%
On the ground 107 / 122 87.7% 74.7% 17 / 20 too few to rate 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 644 / 1963 32.8% 34.9% 100 / 355 28.2% 34.9%
To the body 116 / 164 70.7% 69.5% 14 / 21 too few to rate 69.5%
To the legs 104 / 118 88.1% 82.6% 53 / 64 82.8% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Murphy L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Borella L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 979 / 2418 40.5% 38.8% 125 / 517 24.2% 38.8%
In the clinch 110 / 149 73.8% 74.1% 22 / 30 73.3% 74.1%
On the ground 48 / 66 72.7% 73.4% 16 / 18 too few to rate 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 731 / 2073 35.3% 35.3% 94 / 465 20.2% 35.3%
To the body 196 / 304 64.5% 69.0% 44 / 68 64.7% 69.0%
To the legs 210 / 256 82.0% 78.7% 25 / 32 78.1% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1624.6% acc · 1.09/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
844.4% acc · 1.83/15 · norm 1.02
3367.3% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
466.7% def · norm 58.95%
38:1717.5% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
16:4025.3% of cage time · norm 19.15%
34:592:23 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
13:323:05 per 15 · norm 3:03
30.21/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
10.23/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Murphy has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.