BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

KJ Noons vs.
Alex Oliveira

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-3-0 (1 NC) KJ Noons · UFC
11-10-0 (1 NC) Alex Oliveira · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-3-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
11-10-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
43
AgeΔ 5 yrs
38
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
70"
ReachΔ 6"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
126
Layoff (months)Δ 72.9 mo
53.1
LLNCWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

KJ Noons rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Alex Oliveira hunts takedowns — 2.35 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Alex Oliveira owns the mat — in control 33% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

KJ Noons

Full career not yet synced for KJ Noons — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Alex Oliveira

Full career not yet synced for Alex Oliveira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1633.03/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
6292.99/min · norm 3.17
2164.02/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
5372.55/min · norm 3.06
38.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
51.1%norm 44.9%
59.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
46.7%norm 55.25%
10.28/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
60.43/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

KJ Noons

Distance 94.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 1.0% (norm 8.0%)

Alex Oliveira

Distance 69.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 17.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.3% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

KJ Noons

Head 65.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 23.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.6% (norm 7.9%)

Alex Oliveira

Head 71.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Noons L/AAccLightweight med Oliveira L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 145 / 399 36.3% 37.9% 374 / 857 43.6% 38.6%
In the clinch 16 / 18 too few to rate 67.3% 142 / 209 67.9% 67.8%
On the ground 2 / 4 too few to rate 69.1% 113 / 164 68.9% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 86 / 275 31.3% 35.0% 356 / 884 40.3% 37.2%
To the body 50 / 97 51.5% 69.1% 158 / 218 72.5% 70.7%
To the legs 27 / 49 55.1% 81.9% 115 / 128 89.8% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Noons L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Oliveira L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 182 / 487 37.4% 38.9% 303 / 704 43.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 9 / 12 too few to rate 68.6% 108 / 141 76.6% 68.9%
On the ground 25 / 40 62.5% 68.0% 126 / 162 77.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 111 / 409 27.1% 35.1% 328 / 737 44.5% 35.6%
To the body 38 / 54 70.4% 68.1% 90 / 135 66.7% 69.6%
To the legs 67 / 76 88.2% 81.5% 119 / 135 88.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
3338.4% acc · 2.35/15 · norm 1.27
1959.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3063.8% def · norm 63.9%
0:050.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
69:2733.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
11:003:04 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
52:553:46 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
80.57/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Oliveira has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.