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King Green vs. Drew Dober

UFC 17-13-1 (1 NC) vs. 15-11-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
17-13-1 (1 NC)
UFC record
15-11-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40
AgeΔ 2 yrs
38
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
0.6
Layoff (months)Δ 6.9 mo
7.5
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Drew Dober carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
King Green outworks the Lightweight division — 6.59 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.44 norm.
Drew Dober rarely shoots — 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

King Green

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1712
Tier 3 — regional circuit 175

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 53 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-12 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Drew Dober

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

21516.59/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
9944.48/min · norm 3.44
12273.76/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
9604.33/min · norm 3.38
53.6%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
41.0%norm 43.65%
61.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
53.1%norm 56.3%
70.32/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
100.68/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

King Green

Distance 87.4% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 8.0%)

Drew Dober

Distance 87.8% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

King Green

Head 70.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 18.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.2% (norm 8.0%)

Drew Dober

Head 79.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Green L/AAccLightweight med Dober L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1747 / 3505 49.8% 38.3% 790 / 2128 37.1% 38.3%
In the clinch 182 / 212 85.8% 67.5% 111 / 170 65.3% 67.5%
On the ground 222 / 293 75.8% 68.8% 93 / 125 74.4% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 1252 / 2815 44.5% 35.1% 628 / 1922 32.7% 35.1%
To the body 541 / 747 72.4% 69.1% 225 / 326 69.0% 69.1%
To the legs 358 / 448 79.9% 81.8% 141 / 175 80.6% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Green L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Dober L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1057 / 2910 36.3% 38.8% 771 / 1793 43.0% 38.8%
In the clinch 73 / 127 57.5% 68.6% 87 / 121 71.9% 68.6%
On the ground 97 / 145 66.9% 68.0% 102 / 132 77.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 741 / 2402 30.8% 35.2% 681 / 1668 40.8% 35.2%
To the body 242 / 432 56.0% 68.2% 197 / 279 70.6% 68.2%
To the legs 244 / 348 70.1% 81.5% 82 / 99 82.8% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2745.0% acc · 1.24/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
917.0% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 1.34
5269.3% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
3958.2% def · norm 63.7%
46:1514.2% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
29:1913.2% of cage time · norm 18.95%
29:381:21 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
49:013:18 per 15 · norm 2:50
60.28/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
10.07/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Green has more cage time on record.