King Green vs. Clay Guida
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
King Green
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 17 | 12 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 17 | 5 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 53 documented bouts
In the UFC: 11-12 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500
Clay Guida
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 18 | 19 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 19 | 5 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 61 documented bouts
In the UFC: 10-16 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
King Green
Distance 87.4% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 8.0%)
Clay Guida
Distance 82.1% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
King Green
Head 70.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 18.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.2% (norm 8.0%)
Clay Guida
Head 82.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 8.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.0% (norm 8.0%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Green L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Guida L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 1747 / 3505 | 49.8% | 38.3% | 753 / 2862 | 26.3% | 38.3% |
| In the clinch | 182 / 212 | 85.8% | 67.5% | 158 / 223 | 70.9% | 67.5% |
| On the ground | 222 / 293 | 75.8% | 68.8% | 245 / 401 | 61.1% | 68.8% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 1252 / 2815 | 44.5% | 35.1% | 691 / 2881 | 24.0% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 541 / 747 | 72.4% | 69.1% | 186 / 291 | 63.9% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 358 / 448 | 79.9% | 81.8% | 279 / 314 | 88.9% | 81.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Green L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Guida L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 1057 / 2910 | 36.3% | 38.8% | 1018 / 3003 | 33.9% | 38.8% |
| In the clinch | 73 / 127 | 57.5% | 68.6% | 208 / 287 | 72.5% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 97 / 145 | 66.9% | 68.0% | 118 / 147 | 80.3% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 741 / 2402 | 30.8% | 35.2% | 1031 / 3003 | 34.3% | 35.2% |
| To the body | 242 / 432 | 56.0% | 68.2% | 211 / 309 | 68.3% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 244 / 348 | 70.1% | 81.5% | 102 / 125 | 81.6% | 81.5% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Guida has more cage time on record.