BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kevin Holland vs.
Vicente Luque

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

16-12-0 (1 NC) Kevin Holland · UFC
17-8-0 Vicente Luque · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

16-12-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
17-8-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
33
AgeΔ 1 yrs
34
6'3"
HeightΔ 4"
5'11"
81"
ReachΔ 6"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
3.8
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Vicente Luque carries real power — 0.70 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Vicente Luque absorbs 5.24 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Kevin Holland rarely shoots — 0.83 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kevin Holland

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1812
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 12
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.09 · 19 tier-1/2 wins · 23 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Vicente Luque

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 178
Tier 3 — regional circuit 74

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.18 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 37 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12884.18/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
11354.80/min · norm 3.17
10173.30/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
12415.24/min · norm 3.06
50.3%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
50.9%norm 44.9%
50.0%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
51.6%norm 55.25%
70.34/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
110.70/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kevin Holland

Distance 82.8% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 7.9% (norm 10.3%)

Vicente Luque

Distance 92.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kevin Holland

Head 70.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 15.8% (norm 8.4%)

Vicente Luque

Head 74.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 15.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Holland L/AAccMiddleweight med Luque L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 962 / 2122 45.3% 40.5% 1003 / 2052 48.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 173 / 238 72.7% 70.3% 62 / 77 80.5% 67.8%
On the ground 153 / 203 75.4% 69.1% 70 / 101 69.3% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 704 / 1797 39.2% 38.9% 687 / 1671 41.1% 37.2%
To the body 242 / 360 67.2% 71.7% 153 / 218 70.2% 70.7%
To the legs 342 / 406 84.2% 83.3% 295 / 341 86.5% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Holland L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Luque L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 741 / 1548 47.9% 39.5% 998 / 2212 45.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 112 / 165 67.9% 70.9% 140 / 192 72.9% 68.9%
On the ground 164 / 319 51.4% 69.0% 103 / 160 64.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 574 / 1442 39.8% 37.9% 932 / 2170 42.9% 35.6%
To the body 250 / 369 67.8% 71.3% 177 / 244 72.5% 69.6%
To the legs 193 / 221 87.3% 82.1% 132 / 150 88.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1739.5% acc · 0.83/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1448.3% acc · 0.89/15 · norm 1.27
6757.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
3759.7% def · norm 63.9%
40:4613.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
34:1114.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
100:394:53 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
45:562:54 per 15 · norm 3:15
130.63/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
110.70/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Holland has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.