Ketlen Souza vs.
Ariane Carnelossi
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Ketlen Souza
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 4 | 3 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 13 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.79 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 23 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
Ariane Carnelossi
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 3 | 4 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 11 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 19 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Ketlen Souza
Distance 90.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 9.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 0.8% (norm 5.0%)
Ariane Carnelossi
Distance 84.3% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 5.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Ketlen Souza
Head 67.8% (norm 76.4%) · Body 20.5% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 11.7% (norm 9.1%)
Ariane Carnelossi
Head 81.5% (norm 76.4%) · Body 9.3% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 9.1%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Souza L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med | Carnelossi L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 232 / 430 | 54.0% | 38.3% | 145 / 415 | 34.9% | 38.3% |
| In the clinch | 37 / 44 | 84.1% | 72.6% | 30 / 59 | 50.8% | 72.6% |
| On the ground | 4 / 4 | too few to rate | 75.0% | 15 / 18 | too few to rate | 75.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 149 / 324 | 46.0% | 35.4% | 126 / 401 | 31.4% | 35.4% |
| To the body | 75 / 98 | 76.5% | 69.3% | 26 / 46 | 56.5% | 69.3% |
| To the legs | 49 / 56 | 87.5% | 77.9% | 38 / 45 | 84.4% | 77.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Souza L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med | vs Carnelossi L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 203 / 477 | 42.6% | 39.7% | 197 / 425 | 46.4% | 39.7% |
| In the clinch | 45 / 57 | 78.9% | 71.5% | 83 / 102 | 81.4% | 71.5% |
| On the ground | 10 / 15 | too few to rate | 74.4% | 52 / 62 | 83.9% | 74.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 109 / 329 | 33.1% | 36.0% | 225 / 450 | 50.0% | 36.0% |
| To the body | 96 / 145 | 66.2% | 68.4% | 89 / 117 | 76.1% | 68.4% |
| To the legs | 53 / 75 | 70.7% | 79.1% | 18 / 22 | too few to rate | 79.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Souza has more cage time on record.