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Kelvin Gastelum vs. Dustin Stoltzfus

UFC 14-11-0 (1 NC) vs. 4-7-0
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Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line

Kelvin Gastelum

VS

Dustin Stoltzfus

14-11-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
4-7-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
34
AgeΔ 0 yrs
34
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
71"
ReachΔ 4"
75"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6.3
Layoff (months)Δ 4.1 mo
2.2
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Dustin Stoltzfus is a submission threat — 1.06 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Middleweight norm.
Dustin Stoltzfus hunts takedowns — 2.12 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.
Kelvin Gastelum carries real power — 0.43 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Kelvin Gastelum

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1411
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Dustin Stoltzfus

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 47
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.72 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12693.65/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
3833.39/min · norm 3.23
12223.52/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3713.28/min · norm 3.20
42.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
45.8%norm 47.4%
57.3%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
47.8%norm 53.8%
100.43/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.27/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kelvin Gastelum

Distance 90.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 4.3% (norm 10.0%)

Dustin Stoltzfus

Distance 84.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 7.4% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kelvin Gastelum

Head 80.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Dustin Stoltzfus

Head 73.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 11.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gastelum L/AAccMiddleweight med Stoltzfus L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1082 / 2695 40.1% 40.5% 288 / 703 41.0% 40.5%
In the clinch 109 / 171 63.7% 70.6% 51 / 72 70.8% 70.6%
On the ground 78 / 129 60.5% 69.4% 44 / 62 71.0% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 824 / 2419 34.1% 38.8% 200 / 611 32.7% 38.8%
To the body 233 / 326 71.5% 71.6% 97 / 128 75.8% 71.6%
To the legs 212 / 250 84.8% 83.3% 86 / 98 87.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gastelum L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Stoltzfus L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1052 / 2613 40.3% 39.5% 304 / 614 49.5% 39.5%
In the clinch 102 / 153 66.7% 70.4% 40 / 52 76.9% 70.4%
On the ground 68 / 97 70.1% 69.0% 27 / 45 60.0% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 768 / 2234 34.4% 37.9% 260 / 571 45.5% 37.9%
To the body 274 / 406 67.5% 71.3% 69 / 89 77.5% 71.3%
To the legs 180 / 223 80.7% 82.1% 42 / 51 82.4% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2435.3% acc · 1.04/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
1634.8% acc · 2.12/15 · norm 1.35
5560.4% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
746.7% def · norm 63.3%
47:1513.6% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
31:4428.1% of cage time · norm 19.4%
51:252:13 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
18:382:28 per 15 · norm 3:00
20.09/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
81.06/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gastelum has more cage time on record.

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