BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Katlyn Cerminara vs.
Maycee Barber

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-6-0 Katlyn Cerminara · UFC
10-3-0 Maycee Barber · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-6-0
UFC record
10-3-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
37.6
AgeΔ 9.4 yrs
28.2
5'9"
HeightΔ 4"
5'5"
68"
ReachΔ 3"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
28.9
Layoff (months)Δ 24.6 mo
4.3
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Katlyn Cerminara rarely shoots — 0.31 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Maycee Barber hunts takedowns — 1.51 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Maycee Barber is accurate with head shots — lands 45%, vs a 35% Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Katlyn Cerminara

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Maycee Barber

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 113
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.86 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11044.58/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
6354.25/min · norm 3.91
10804.48/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
4042.70/min · norm 3.81
34.9%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
51.2%norm 44.9%
62.3%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
57.5%norm 55.95%
10.06/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Katlyn Cerminara

Distance 93.9% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 4.9%)

Maycee Barber

Distance 66.2% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 20.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Katlyn Cerminara

Head 79.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 7.7%)

Maycee Barber

Head 81.9% (norm 78.1%) · Body 12.4% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cerminara L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Barber L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 960 / 2967 32.4% 39.9% 303 / 821 36.9% 39.9%
In the clinch 86 / 123 69.9% 73.3% 207 / 259 79.9% 73.3%
On the ground 58 / 69 84.1% 74.7% 125 / 160 78.1% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 677 / 2520 26.9% 34.9% 460 / 1015 45.3% 34.9%
To the body 269 / 437 61.6% 69.5% 113 / 154 73.4% 69.5%
To the legs 158 / 202 78.2% 82.6% 62 / 71 87.3% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cerminara L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Barber L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 942 / 2687 35.1% 38.8% 280 / 784 35.7% 38.8%
In the clinch 98 / 129 76.0% 74.1% 107 / 140 76.4% 74.1%
On the ground 40 / 47 85.1% 73.4% 17 / 27 63.0% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 563 / 2131 26.4% 35.3% 224 / 699 32.0% 35.3%
To the body 186 / 325 57.2% 69.0% 109 / 157 69.4% 69.0%
To the legs 331 / 407 81.3% 78.7% 71 / 95 74.7% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

515.6% acc · 0.31/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
1546.9% acc · 1.51/15 · norm 1.02
2650.0% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1348.1% def · norm 58.95%
19:007.9% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
33:5822.7% of cage time · norm 19.15%
38:452:24 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
47:044:43 per 15 · norm 3:03
50.31/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
10.10/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerminara has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.