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Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mara Romero Borella

UFC 12-6-0 vs. 2-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
12-6-0
UFC record
2-5-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
37
AgeΔ 3 yrs
40
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
5'6"
68"
ReachΔ 1"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.1
Layoff (months)Δ 72.9 mo
73
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Mara Romero Borella hunts takedowns — 1.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.94 Women's Flyweight norm.
Katlyn Cerminara rarely shoots — 0.31 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.94 Women's Flyweight norm.
Mara Romero Borella defends head shots well — opponents land just 20%, vs a 35% Women's Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Katlyn Cerminara

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Mara Romero Borella

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 25
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 94

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.18 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11364.62/min · norm 3.93
Sig. strikes landed
1672.54/min · norm 3.93
10994.47/min · norm 3.84
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1632.48/min · norm 3.84
35.2%norm 45.5%
Striking accuracy
38.0%norm 45.5%
62.4%norm 56.1%
Striking defense
71.2%norm 56.1%
20.12/15 · norm 0.10
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.10

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Katlyn Cerminara

Distance 93.7% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 4.5%)

Mara Romero Borella

Distance 91.4% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 4.1% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 4.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Katlyn Cerminara

Head 80.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.6% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 6.3% (norm 7.6%)

Mara Romero Borella

Head 80.7% (norm 78.1%) · Body 4.8% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 14.5% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cerminara L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Borella L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 985 / 3027 32.5% 40.3% 137 / 402 34.1% 40.3%
In the clinch 88 / 126 69.8% 73.9% 13 / 18 too few to rate 73.9%
On the ground 63 / 77 81.8% 74.4% 17 / 20 too few to rate 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 706 / 2587 27.3% 36.0% 100 / 355 28.2% 36.0%
To the body 271 / 440 61.6% 69.5% 14 / 21 too few to rate 69.5%
To the legs 159 / 203 78.3% 82.3% 53 / 64 82.8% 82.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cerminara L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Borella L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 961 / 2745 35.0% 39.0% 125 / 517 24.2% 39.0%
In the clinch 98 / 129 76.0% 73.8% 22 / 30 73.3% 73.8%
On the ground 40 / 47 85.1% 73.4% 16 / 18 too few to rate 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 572 / 2178 26.3% 35.0% 94 / 465 20.2% 35.0%
To the body 193 / 333 58.0% 69.0% 44 / 68 64.7% 69.0%
To the legs 334 / 410 81.5% 78.7% 25 / 32 78.1% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
515.6% acc · 0.31/15 · norm 0.94
Takedowns landed
844.4% acc · 1.83/15 · norm 0.94
2750.9% def · norm 61.1%
Takedowns stopped
466.7% def · norm 61.1%
19:157.8% of cage time · norm 18.7%
Control time
16:4025.3% of cage time · norm 18.7%
38:452:21 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
13:323:05 per 15 · norm 3:00
50.31/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
10.23/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerminara has more cage time on record.