BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Justin Willis vs.
James Mulheron

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-1-0 Justin Willis · UFC
0-1-0 James Mulheron · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-1-0
UFC record
0-1-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
39
AgeΔ 1 yrs
38
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
78"
ReachΔ 5"
73"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
88.5
Layoff (months)Δ 20.2 mo
108.7
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
L
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

James Mulheron rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Justin Willis carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
James Mulheron's takedown defense leaks — 25% stopped, vs a 64% Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Justin Willis

Full career not yet synced for Justin Willis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

James Mulheron

Full career not yet synced for James Mulheron — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2113.37/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
362.40/min · norm 3.36
1612.57/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
523.47/min · norm 3.19
59.3%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
31.6%norm 47.8%
57.9%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
42.9%norm 52.5%
20.48/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Justin Willis

Distance 83.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 9.3%)

James Mulheron

Distance 91.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Justin Willis

Head 87.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 7.6%)

James Mulheron

Head 74.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 21.9% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Willis L/AAccHeavyweight med Mulheron L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 168 / 296 56.8% 40.1% 30 / 104 28.8% 40.1%
In the clinch 14 / 27 51.9% 70.6% 6 / 10 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 29 / 33 87.9% 70.2% 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 176 / 310 56.8% 38.9% 15 / 85 17.6% 38.9%
To the body 19 / 26 73.1% 76.8% 18 / 25 72.0% 76.8%
To the legs 16 / 20 too few to rate 87.8% 3 / 4 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Willis L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Mulheron L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 123 / 326 37.7% 40.7% 40 / 77 51.9% 40.7%
In the clinch 24 / 35 68.6% 70.6% 2 / 3 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 14 / 21 too few to rate 72.0% 10 / 11 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 68 / 260 26.2% 38.8% 40 / 73 54.8% 38.8%
To the body 55 / 80 68.8% 75.1% 7 / 11 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 38 / 42 90.5% 84.4% 5 / 7 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

466.7% acc · 0.96/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
436.4% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
125.0% def · norm 64.3%
6:2710.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
0:404.4% of cage time · norm 17.2%
14:253:27 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
3:253:25 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Willis has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.