BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Justin Edwards vs.
John Maguire

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-5-0 Justin Edwards · UFC
2-3-0 John Maguire · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-5-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
43
AgeΔ 0 yrs
43
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
134
Layoff (months)Δ 23.7 mo
157.7
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

John Maguire is a submission threat — 1.08 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
John Maguire hunts takedowns — 2.80 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Justin Edwards is a submission threat — 0.97 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Justin Edwards

Full career not yet synced for Justin Edwards — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

John Maguire

Full career not yet synced for John Maguire — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2072.68/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
981.41/min · norm 3.17
2563.32/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1702.44/min · norm 3.06
42.2%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
41.5%norm 44.9%
51.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
65.4%norm 55.25%
10.19/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Justin Edwards

Distance 69.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 23.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.5% (norm 8.1%)

John Maguire

Distance 81.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 10.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Justin Edwards

Head 77.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.3% (norm 8.4%)

John Maguire

Head 88.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 5.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Edwards L/AAccWelterweight med Maguire L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 113 / 343 32.9% 38.6% 64 / 193 33.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 75 / 116 64.7% 67.8% 15 / 19 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 19 / 32 59.4% 67.2% 19 / 24 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 131 / 380 34.5% 37.2% 74 / 208 35.6% 37.2%
To the body 56 / 80 70.0% 70.7% 12 / 14 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 20 / 31 64.5% 82.9% 12 / 14 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Edwards L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Maguire L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 129 / 360 35.8% 39.0% 101 / 379 26.6% 39.0%
In the clinch 74 / 96 77.1% 68.9% 40 / 53 75.5% 68.9%
On the ground 53 / 67 79.1% 68.0% 29 / 60 48.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 177 / 428 41.4% 35.6% 79 / 347 22.8% 35.6%
To the body 57 / 69 82.6% 69.6% 32 / 62 51.6% 69.6%
To the legs 22 / 26 84.6% 82.1% 59 / 83 71.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1126.8% acc · 2.14/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1346.4% acc · 2.80/15 · norm 1.27
627.3% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
777.8% def · norm 63.9%
15:3420.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
24:2835.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
25:394:59 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
13:292:54 per 15 · norm 3:15
50.97/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
51.08/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Edwards has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.