BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Juan Adams vs.
Justin Tafa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Juan Adams · UFC
4-5-0 (1 NC) Justin Tafa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
4-5-0 (1 NC)
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
34.6
AgeΔ 2 yrs
32.6
6'5"
HeightΔ 5"
6'0"
80"
ReachΔ 6"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
77.9
Layoff (months)Δ 60 mo
17.9
LLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWNCW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Justin Tafa carries real power — 1.10 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Justin Tafa rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Juan Adams outworks the Heavyweight division — 6.17 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.36 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Juan Adams

Full career not yet synced for Juan Adams — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Justin Tafa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 45
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.86 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1776.17/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
2214.05/min · norm 3.36
1284.46/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
2795.11/min · norm 3.19
51.0%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
54.4%norm 47.8%
33.0%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
47.1%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
41.10/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Juan Adams

Distance 72.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 14.7% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 13.0% (norm 9.3%)

Justin Tafa

Distance 89.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 2.7% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Juan Adams

Head 86.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.1% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 7.6%)

Justin Tafa

Head 73.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 18.5% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.9% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Adams L/AAccHeavyweight med Tafa L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 98 / 251 39.0% 40.1% 187 / 362 51.7% 40.1%
In the clinch 43 / 51 84.3% 70.6% 26 / 33 78.8% 70.6%
On the ground 36 / 45 80.0% 70.2% 8 / 11 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 136 / 300 45.3% 38.9% 129 / 299 43.1% 38.9%
To the body 31 / 35 88.6% 76.8% 62 / 75 82.7% 76.8%
To the legs 10 / 12 too few to rate 87.8% 30 / 32 93.8% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Adams L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Tafa L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 67 / 122 54.9% 40.7% 221 / 447 49.4% 40.7%
In the clinch 23 / 29 79.3% 70.6% 36 / 48 75.0% 70.6%
On the ground 38 / 40 95.0% 72.0% 22 / 32 68.8% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 102 / 162 63.0% 38.8% 157 / 381 41.2% 38.8%
To the body 19 / 22 too few to rate 75.1% 80 / 101 79.2% 75.1%
To the legs 7 / 7 too few to rate 84.4% 42 / 45 93.3% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

266.7% acc · 1.05/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
125.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
853.3% def · norm 64.3%
6:0221.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
4:258.1% of cage time · norm 17.2%
6:363:26 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
11:593:17 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tafa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.