BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Josh Emmett vs.
Bryce Mitchell

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-7-0 Josh Emmett · UFC
10-3-0 Bryce Mitchell · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-7-0
UFC record
10-3-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
41
AgeΔ 10 yrs
31
5'6"
HeightΔ 4"
5'10"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
4.8
Layoff (months)Δ 2.8 mo
2
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Bryce Mitchell owns the mat — in control 55% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Josh Emmett carries real power — 0.85 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Bryce Mitchell is a submission threat — 1.27 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Josh Emmett

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 107
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Bryce Mitchell

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 103
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.54 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7753.67/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
3372.19/min · norm 3.54
9554.52/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
2321.51/min · norm 3.47
35.8%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
59.0%norm 45.0%
59.6%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
58.9%norm 54.85%
120.85/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.10/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Josh Emmett

Distance 91.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 2.9% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 5.8% (norm 6.5%)

Bryce Mitchell

Distance 67.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 25.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Josh Emmett

Head 81.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 7.8%)

Bryce Mitchell

Head 64.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 26.3% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.3% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Emmett L/AAccFeatherweight med Mitchell L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 654 / 1978 33.1% 40.9% 188 / 384 49.0% 40.9%
In the clinch 43 / 63 68.3% 70.8% 30 / 40 75.0% 70.8%
On the ground 78 / 126 61.9% 69.2% 119 / 147 81.0% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 496 / 1768 28.1% 37.2% 192 / 368 52.2% 37.2%
To the body 164 / 267 61.4% 68.2% 100 / 150 66.7% 68.2%
To the legs 115 / 132 87.1% 80.7% 45 / 53 84.9% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Emmett L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Mitchell L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 824 / 2170 38.0% 39.2% 167 / 471 35.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 61 / 92 66.3% 70.3% 12 / 22 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 70 / 102 68.6% 69.4% 53 / 72 73.6% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 665 / 1957 34.0% 35.9% 145 / 434 33.4% 35.9%
To the body 145 / 229 63.3% 67.9% 57 / 95 60.0% 67.9%
To the legs 145 / 178 81.5% 81.5% 30 / 36 83.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1536.6% acc · 1.07/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
3236.4% acc · 3.12/15 · norm 1.19
743.8% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
538.5% def · norm 61.5%
16:518.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
84:3755.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
9:340:40 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
23:302:17 per 15 · norm 3:12
10.07/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
131.27/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Emmett has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.