BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jorge Gurgel vs.
Diego Saraiva

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Jorge Gurgel · UFC
0-3-0 Diego Saraiva · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
0-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
49.5
AgeΔ 5.2 yrs
44.3
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
69"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
212.6
Layoff (months)Δ 13.8 mo
226.4
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Diego Saraiva's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Jorge Gurgel rarely shoots — 0.86 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Diego Saraiva is a submission threat — 0.67 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jorge Gurgel

Full career not yet synced for Jorge Gurgel — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.6 wins over .500

Diego Saraiva

Full career not yet synced for Diego Saraiva — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3563.40/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
741.64/min · norm 3.42
3753.58/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1613.58/min · norm 3.37
33.1%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
32.6%norm 43.5%
63.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
62.1%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jorge Gurgel

Distance 78.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.8% (norm 8.0%)

Diego Saraiva

Distance 85.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jorge Gurgel

Head 86.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 4.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.9% (norm 7.9%)

Diego Saraiva

Head 91.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 3.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gurgel L/AAccLightweight med Saraiva L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 240 / 845 28.4% 37.9% 59 / 194 30.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 59 / 103 57.3% 67.3% 4 / 15 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 57 / 127 44.9% 69.1% 11 / 18 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 246 / 930 26.5% 35.0% 62 / 208 29.8% 35.0%
To the body 34 / 49 69.4% 69.1% 6 / 7 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 76 / 96 79.2% 81.9% 6 / 12 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gurgel L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Saraiva L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 253 / 807 31.4% 38.9% 69 / 244 28.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 59 / 103 57.3% 68.6% 16 / 32 50.0% 68.6%
On the ground 63 / 103 61.2% 68.0% 76 / 149 51.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 275 / 871 31.6% 35.1% 135 / 387 34.9% 35.1%
To the body 70 / 97 72.2% 68.1% 13 / 18 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 30 / 45 66.7% 81.5% 13 / 20 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

625.0% acc · 0.86/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
440.0% acc · 1.33/15 · norm 1.38
555.6% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
00.0% def · norm 64.0%
26:1825.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
8:0017.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
15:452:15 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
19:146:24 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.14/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.67/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gurgel has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.