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Joel Alvarez vs. Elves Brener

UFC 8-4-0 vs. 4-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
8-4-0
UFC record
4-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
33
AgeΔ 4 yrs
29
6'3"
HeightΔ 5"
5'10"
77"
ReachΔ 5"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 1.4 mo
0.8
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Elves Brener carries real power — 0.56 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Joel Alvarez rarely shoots — 0.15 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Joel Alvarez is a submission threat — 0.90 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Joel Alvarez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 83
Tier 3 — regional circuit 151

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.46 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Elves Brener

Full career not yet synced for Elves Brener — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4584.59/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
3864.82/min · norm 3.44
4124.13/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
4545.67/min · norm 3.38
52.8%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
48.5%norm 43.65%
47.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
50.9%norm 56.3%
10.15/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.56/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joel Alvarez

Distance 85.0% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 6.6% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 8.4% (norm 8.0%)

Elves Brener

Distance 94.1% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 2.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 3.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joel Alvarez

Head 78.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.8% (norm 8.0%)

Elves Brener

Head 72.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.8% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alvarez L/AAccLightweight med Brener L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 358 / 738 48.5% 38.3% 354 / 749 47.3% 38.3%
In the clinch 46 / 57 80.7% 67.5% 12 / 19 too few to rate 67.5%
On the ground 54 / 73 74.0% 68.8% 20 / 28 71.4% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 302 / 677 44.6% 35.1% 218 / 574 38.0% 35.1%
To the body 95 / 123 77.2% 69.1% 74 / 112 66.1% 69.1%
To the legs 61 / 68 89.7% 81.8% 94 / 110 85.5% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alvarez L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Brener L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 362 / 718 50.4% 38.8% 356 / 797 44.7% 38.8%
In the clinch 11 / 15 too few to rate 68.6% 54 / 64 84.4% 68.6%
On the ground 39 / 53 73.6% 68.0% 44 / 64 68.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 180 / 466 38.6% 35.2% 329 / 760 43.3% 35.2%
To the body 118 / 183 64.5% 68.2% 93 / 121 76.9% 68.2%
To the legs 114 / 137 83.2% 81.5% 32 / 44 72.7% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
133.3% acc · 0.15/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
516.7% acc · 0.94/15 · norm 1.34
1448.3% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
2071.4% def · norm 63.7%
9:369.6% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
6:137.8% of cage time · norm 18.95%
21:193:12 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
14:122:39 per 15 · norm 2:50
60.90/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alvarez has more cage time on record.