BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Joel Alvarez vs.
Drakkar Klose

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-3-0 Joel Alvarez · UFC
10-3-0 Drakkar Klose · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-3-0
UFC record
10-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
33.4
AgeΔ 5 yrs
38.4
6'3"
HeightΔ 6"
5'9"
77"
ReachΔ 7"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.9
Layoff (months)Δ 8.8 mo
11.7
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joel Alvarez is a submission threat — 1.06 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Joel Alvarez rarely shoots — 0.18 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Drakkar Klose is accurate with body shots — lands 87%, vs a 69% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Joel Alvarez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 83
Tier 3 — regional circuit 151

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.46 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Drakkar Klose

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 103
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.43 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3844.53/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
6424.25/min · norm 3.42
2573.03/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
5523.65/min · norm 3.37
54.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
55.1%norm 43.5%
53.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
49.3%norm 56.3%
10.18/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.20/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joel Alvarez

Distance 82.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 8.0%)

Drakkar Klose

Distance 71.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 21.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joel Alvarez

Head 79.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 7.9%)

Drakkar Klose

Head 69.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alvarez L/AAccLightweight med Klose L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 286 / 577 49.6% 37.9% 380 / 836 45.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 44 / 54 81.5% 67.3% 210 / 252 83.3% 67.3%
On the ground 54 / 73 74.0% 69.1% 52 / 78 66.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 265 / 557 47.6% 35.0% 340 / 811 41.9% 35.0%
To the body 76 / 98 77.6% 69.1% 180 / 208 86.5% 69.1%
To the legs 43 / 49 87.8% 81.9% 122 / 147 83.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alvarez L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Klose L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 213 / 496 42.9% 38.9% 413 / 913 45.2% 38.9%
In the clinch 5 / 8 too few to rate 68.6% 120 / 151 79.5% 68.6%
On the ground 39 / 53 73.6% 68.0% 19 / 25 76.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 129 / 366 35.2% 35.1% 249 / 693 35.9% 35.1%
To the body 62 / 107 57.9% 68.1% 179 / 244 73.4% 68.1%
To the legs 66 / 84 78.6% 81.5% 124 / 152 81.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

133.3% acc · 0.18/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1526.8% acc · 1.49/15 · norm 1.38
1346.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2769.2% def · norm 64.0%
9:1010.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
35:3023.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
21:073:44 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
25:112:30 per 15 · norm 2:46
61.06/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Klose has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.