BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Joe Stevenson vs.
Luke Cummo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-8-0 Joe Stevenson · UFC
3-4-0 Luke Cummo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-8-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44.1
AgeΔ 2.2 yrs
46.3
5'7"
HeightΔ 5"
6'0"
70"
ReachΔ 4"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
181.3
Layoff (months)Δ 34.6 mo
215.9
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Stevenson is a submission threat — 2.19 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Luke Cummo is a submission threat — 1.42 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Joe Stevenson hunts takedowns — 2.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Joe Stevenson

Full career not yet synced for Joe Stevenson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Luke Cummo

Full career not yet synced for Luke Cummo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3071.87/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1471.74/min · norm 3.17
4322.63/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1271.50/min · norm 3.06
42.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
43.2%norm 44.9%
60.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.6%norm 55.25%
10.09/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
40.71/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joe Stevenson

Distance 65.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 26.7% (norm 8.0%)

Luke Cummo

Distance 67.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 19.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joe Stevenson

Head 84.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)

Luke Cummo

Head 72.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 22.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Stevenson L/AAccLightweight med Cummo L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 142 / 482 29.5% 37.9% 82 / 228 36.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 35 / 54 64.8% 67.3% 39 / 67 58.2% 67.8%
On the ground 130 / 195 66.7% 69.1% 26 / 45 57.8% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 225 / 619 36.3% 35.0% 78 / 245 31.8% 37.2%
To the body 44 / 67 65.7% 69.1% 50 / 75 66.7% 70.7%
To the legs 38 / 45 84.4% 81.9% 19 / 20 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Stevenson L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Cummo L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 304 / 865 35.1% 38.9% 30 / 142 21.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 26 / 55 47.3% 68.6% 23 / 36 63.9% 68.9%
On the ground 102 / 170 60.0% 68.0% 74 / 136 54.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 348 / 981 35.5% 35.1% 91 / 264 34.5% 35.6%
To the body 63 / 83 75.9% 68.1% 22 / 31 71.0% 69.6%
To the legs 21 / 26 80.8% 81.5% 14 / 19 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3146.3% acc · 2.83/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
555.6% acc · 0.89/15 · norm 1.27
1641.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2342.6% def · norm 63.9%
52:2231.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
11:2713.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
46:334:14 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
46:318:15 per 15 · norm 3:15
242.19/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
81.42/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Stevenson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.