BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Joe Proctor vs.
Magomed Mustafaev

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 Joe Proctor · UFC
3-2-0 Magomed Mustafaev · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
3-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
41
AgeΔ 3 yrs
38
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
72"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
111.5
Layoff (months)Δ 34.1 mo
77.4
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Proctor is a submission threat — 1.83 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Magomed Mustafaev carries real power — 0.83 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Magomed Mustafaev hunts takedowns — 3.31 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Joe Proctor

Full career not yet synced for Joe Proctor — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Magomed Mustafaev

Full career not yet synced for Magomed Mustafaev — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2223.39/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
942.59/min · norm 3.42
2573.93/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
972.68/min · norm 3.37
36.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
58.8%norm 43.5%
59.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
41.2%norm 56.3%
20.46/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.83/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joe Proctor

Distance 89.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 8.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.0% (norm 8.0%)

Magomed Mustafaev

Distance 63.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 22.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 14.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joe Proctor

Head 83.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.9% (norm 7.9%)

Magomed Mustafaev

Head 68.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Proctor L/AAccLightweight med Mustafaev L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 183 / 546 33.5% 37.9% 48 / 101 47.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 30 / 50 60.0% 67.3% 24 / 36 66.7% 67.3%
On the ground 9 / 12 too few to rate 69.1% 22 / 23 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 152 / 510 29.8% 35.0% 54 / 109 49.5% 35.0%
To the body 33 / 50 66.0% 69.1% 23 / 33 69.7% 69.1%
To the legs 37 / 48 77.1% 81.9% 17 / 18 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Proctor L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Mustafaev L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 179 / 515 34.8% 38.9% 44 / 90 48.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 55 / 90 61.1% 68.6% 20 / 30 66.7% 68.6%
On the ground 23 / 36 63.9% 68.0% 33 / 45 73.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 164 / 478 34.3% 35.1% 53 / 109 48.6% 35.1%
To the body 53 / 100 53.0% 68.1% 28 / 38 73.7% 68.1%
To the legs 40 / 63 63.5% 81.5% 16 / 18 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
850.0% acc · 3.31/15 · norm 1.38
1970.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
323.1% def · norm 64.0%
3:485.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
9:3726.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
14:423:22 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
13:265:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
81.83/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.41/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Proctor has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.