BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Joe Duffy vs.
Mitch Clarke

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 Joe Duffy · UFC
2-5-0 Mitch Clarke · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
2-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
38.5
AgeΔ 2.2 yrs
40.7
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
73"
ReachΔ 0"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
72.6
Layoff (months)Δ 34.3 mo
106.9
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Duffy carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Mitch Clarke rarely shoots — 0.64 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Joe Duffy is a submission threat — 0.72 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Joe Duffy

Full career not yet synced for Joe Duffy — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Mitch Clarke

Full career not yet synced for Mitch Clarke — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1682.68/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1662.35/min · norm 3.42
2373.78/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2313.27/min · norm 3.37
34.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
34.0%norm 43.5%
54.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
47.9%norm 56.3%
20.48/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Joe Duffy

Distance 92.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 8.0%)

Mitch Clarke

Distance 86.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Joe Duffy

Head 84.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.9%)

Mitch Clarke

Head 70.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 18.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Duffy L/AAccLightweight med Clarke L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 143 / 451 31.7% 37.9% 124 / 421 29.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 13 / 20 too few to rate 67.3% 38 / 53 71.7% 67.3%
On the ground 12 / 18 too few to rate 69.1% 4 / 14 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 110 / 411 26.8% 35.0% 82 / 342 24.0% 35.0%
To the body 35 / 52 67.3% 69.1% 31 / 57 54.4% 69.1%
To the legs 23 / 26 88.5% 81.9% 53 / 89 59.6% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Duffy L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Clarke L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 173 / 426 40.6% 38.9% 129 / 305 42.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 30 / 45 66.7% 68.6% 45 / 59 76.3% 68.6%
On the ground 34 / 51 66.7% 68.0% 57 / 79 72.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 137 / 387 35.4% 35.1% 184 / 383 48.0% 35.1%
To the body 50 / 71 70.4% 68.1% 33 / 45 73.3% 68.1%
To the legs 50 / 64 78.1% 81.5% 14 / 15 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

466.7% acc · 0.96/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
315.0% acc · 0.64/15 · norm 1.38
1664.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1250.0% def · norm 64.0%
5:589.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
10:2314.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
15:573:49 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
27:315:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
30.72/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.43/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Duffy has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.