Jesus Aguilar vs.
Rafael Estevam
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Jesus Aguilar
Full career not yet synced for Jesus Aguilar — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
Rafael Estevam
Full career not yet synced for Rafael Estevam — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Jesus Aguilar
Distance 92.0% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 7.3%)
Rafael Estevam
Distance 91.5% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 2.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 6.1% (norm 7.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Jesus Aguilar
Head 70.0% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 13.7% (norm 9.3%)
Rafael Estevam
Head 80.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 12.5% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 9.3%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Aguilar L/A | Acc | Flyweight med | Estevam L/A | Acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 155 / 436 | 35.6% | 40.0% | 89 / 300 | 29.7% | 40.0% |
| In the clinch | 17 / 27 | 63.0% | 70.4% | 5 / 8 | too few to rate | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 5 / 11 | too few to rate | 69.7% | 12 / 20 | too few to rate | 69.7% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 87 / 332 | 26.2% | 37.6% | 73 / 263 | 27.8% | 37.6% |
| To the body | 42 / 77 | 54.5% | 68.5% | 19 / 41 | 46.3% | 68.5% |
| To the legs | 48 / 65 | 73.8% | 80.0% | 14 / 24 | too few to rate | 80.0% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Aguilar L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med | vs Estevam L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 134 / 371 | 36.1% | 40.1% | 216 / 397 | 54.4% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 8 / 11 | too few to rate | 68.8% | 27 / 46 | 58.7% | 68.8% |
| On the ground | 25 / 43 | 58.1% | 71.1% | 4 / 6 | too few to rate | 71.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 114 / 343 | 33.2% | 35.2% | 167 / 351 | 47.6% | 35.2% |
| To the body | 34 / 58 | 58.6% | 68.2% | 56 / 70 | 80.0% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 19 / 24 | too few to rate | 80.3% | 24 / 28 | 85.7% | 80.3% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Aguilar has more cage time on record.