BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jamie Mullarkey vs.
Francisco Prado

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-7-0 Jamie Mullarkey · UFC
1-5-0 Francisco Prado · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-7-0
UFC record
1-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
32
AgeΔ 7.9 yrs
24.1
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
74"
ReachΔ 5"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6.1
Layoff (months)Δ 2.3 mo
3.8
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jamie Mullarkey hunts takedowns — 2.46 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Francisco Prado is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Francisco Prado absorbs 4.31 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jamie Mullarkey

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 67
Tier 3 — regional circuit 122

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.71 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Francisco Prado

Full career not yet synced for Francisco Prado — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5004.10/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2913.68/min · norm 3.17
5214.28/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
3414.31/min · norm 3.06
46.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
43.6%norm 44.9%
54.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
54.2%norm 55.25%
20.25/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.19/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jamie Mullarkey

Distance 89.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 8.0%)

Francisco Prado

Distance 88.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jamie Mullarkey

Head 71.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.4% (norm 7.9%)

Francisco Prado

Head 68.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Mullarkey L/AAccLightweight med Prado L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 429 / 963 44.5% 37.9% 231 / 588 39.3% 38.6%
In the clinch 46 / 70 65.7% 67.3% 20 / 24 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 25 / 39 64.1% 69.1% 40 / 55 72.7% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 259 / 766 33.8% 35.0% 146 / 455 32.1% 37.2%
To the body 109 / 162 67.3% 69.1% 65 / 114 57.0% 70.7%
To the legs 132 / 144 91.7% 81.9% 80 / 98 81.6% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Mullarkey L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Prado L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 428 / 1014 42.2% 38.9% 282 / 665 42.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 41 / 59 69.5% 68.6% 33 / 42 78.6% 68.9%
On the ground 52 / 70 74.3% 68.0% 26 / 38 68.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 347 / 893 38.9% 35.1% 216 / 588 36.7% 35.6%
To the body 101 / 169 59.8% 68.1% 90 / 119 75.6% 69.6%
To the legs 73 / 81 90.1% 81.5% 35 / 38 92.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2030.8% acc · 2.46/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
419.0% acc · 0.76/15 · norm 1.27
1270.6% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
640.0% def · norm 63.9%
27:0722.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
12:1915.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
5:580:44 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
17:123:15 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.12/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
40.76/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mullarkey has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.