Skip to content

Jake Matthews vs. Francisco Prado

UFC 16-8-0 vs. 2-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
16-8-0
UFC record
2-5-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
32
AgeΔ 8 yrs
24
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
73"
ReachΔ 4"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.7
Layoff (months)Δ 4.4 mo
0.3
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Jake Matthews is a submission threat — 0.71 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Francisco Prado is a submission threat — 0.72 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Jake Matthews owns the mat — in control 26% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jake Matthews

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 168
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.36 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Francisco Prado

Full career not yet synced for Francisco Prado — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9253.36/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3163.79/min · norm 3.44
7102.58/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3544.24/min · norm 3.38
44.5%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
44.0%norm 43.65%
60.6%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
54.1%norm 56.3%
60.33/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.18/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jake Matthews

Distance 82.1% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 13.1% (norm 8.1%)

Francisco Prado

Distance 85.5% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jake Matthews

Head 82.6% (norm 78.3%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.0%)

Francisco Prado

Head 69.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.5% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Matthews L/AAccWelterweight med Prado L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 664 / 1706 38.9% 38.5% 239 / 614 38.9% 38.3%
In the clinch 67 / 100 67.0% 67.8% 20 / 24 too few to rate 67.5%
On the ground 194 / 273 71.1% 67.0% 57 / 80 71.2% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 665 / 1718 38.7% 36.4% 165 / 497 33.2% 35.1%
To the body 161 / 239 67.4% 70.7% 66 / 117 56.4% 69.1%
To the legs 99 / 122 81.1% 83.0% 85 / 104 81.7% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Matthews L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Prado L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 517 / 1515 34.1% 39.1% 295 / 691 42.7% 38.8%
In the clinch 98 / 140 70.0% 68.9% 33 / 42 78.6% 68.6%
On the ground 95 / 147 64.6% 68.0% 26 / 38 68.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 434 / 1402 31.0% 35.6% 223 / 608 36.7% 35.2%
To the body 124 / 199 62.3% 69.6% 91 / 120 75.8% 68.2%
To the legs 152 / 201 75.6% 82.2% 40 / 43 93.0% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2541.7% acc · 1.36/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
626.1% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 1.34
2866.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
640.0% def · norm 63.7%
72:5326.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
14:3517.5% of cage time · norm 18.95%
40:352:12 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
17:123:05 per 15 · norm 2:50
130.71/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
40.72/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Matthews has more cage time on record.