BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jake Lindsey vs.
Joe Duffy

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-3-0 Jake Lindsey · UFC
4-4-0 Joe Duffy · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-3-0
UFC record
4-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40.1
AgeΔ 1.6 yrs
38.5
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
Reach
73"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
136.8
Layoff (months)Δ 64.2 mo
72.6
LLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Duffy carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Jake Lindsey rarely shoots — 0.65 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Joe Duffy is a submission threat — 0.72 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jake Lindsey

Full career not yet synced for Jake Lindsey — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Joe Duffy

Full career not yet synced for Joe Duffy — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

793.44/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1682.68/min · norm 3.42
924.01/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2373.78/min · norm 3.37
52.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
34.4%norm 43.5%
46.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
54.6%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.48/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jake Lindsey

Distance 74.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 23.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.0% (norm 8.0%)

Joe Duffy

Distance 92.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jake Lindsey

Head 49.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 28.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 22.7% (norm 7.9%)

Joe Duffy

Head 84.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lindsey L/AAccLightweight med Duffy L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 50 / 112 44.6% 37.9% 143 / 451 31.7% 37.9%
In the clinch 28 / 35 80.0% 67.3% 13 / 20 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 1 / 3 too few to rate 69.1% 12 / 18 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 21 / 74 28.4% 35.0% 110 / 411 26.8% 35.0%
To the body 32 / 42 76.2% 69.1% 35 / 52 67.3% 69.1%
To the legs 26 / 34 76.5% 81.9% 23 / 26 88.5% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lindsey L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Duffy L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 58 / 126 46.0% 38.9% 173 / 426 40.6% 38.9%
In the clinch 14 / 16 too few to rate 68.6% 30 / 45 66.7% 68.6%
On the ground 20 / 29 69.0% 68.0% 34 / 51 66.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 61 / 136 44.9% 35.1% 137 / 387 35.4% 35.1%
To the body 25 / 28 89.3% 68.1% 50 / 71 70.4% 68.1%
To the legs 6 / 7 too few to rate 81.5% 50 / 64 78.1% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

133.3% acc · 0.65/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
466.7% acc · 0.96/15 · norm 1.38
550.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1664.0% def · norm 64.0%
3:0613.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
5:589.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
9:326:14 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
15:573:49 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
30.72/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Duffy has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.