BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Jafel Filho vs.
Allan Nascimento

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-3-0 Jafel Filho · UFC
4-2-0 Allan Nascimento · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-3-0
UFC record
4-2-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
33.3
AgeΔ 1.6 yrs
34.9
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
68"
ReachΔ 1"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.4
Layoff (months)Δ 1.9 mo
1.5
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jafel Filho is a submission threat — 1.84 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Allan Nascimento owns the mat — in control 33% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Jafel Filho hunts takedowns — 2.36 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Jafel Filho

Full career not yet synced for Jafel Filho — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Allan Nascimento

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 11
Tier 3 — regional circuit 172

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

931.63/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
1722.41/min · norm 3.49
871.52/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
1381.93/min · norm 3.24
40.1%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
45.1%norm 44.6%
52.2%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
57.3%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.21/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jafel Filho

Distance 78.4% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 8.2% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 13.4% (norm 7.3%)

Allan Nascimento

Distance 83.7% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 11.8% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jafel Filho

Head 70.7% (norm 75.9%) · Body 15.5% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 13.8% (norm 9.3%)

Allan Nascimento

Head 62.5% (norm 75.9%) · Body 19.4% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 18.1% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Filho L/AAccFlyweight med Nascimento L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 59 / 182 32.4% 40.0% 131 / 319 41.1% 40.0%
In the clinch 14 / 19 too few to rate 70.4% 14 / 17 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 20 / 31 64.5% 69.7% 27 / 45 60.0% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 48 / 164 29.3% 37.6% 72 / 238 30.3% 37.6%
To the body 26 / 36 72.2% 68.5% 44 / 74 59.5% 68.5%
To the legs 19 / 32 59.4% 80.0% 56 / 69 81.2% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Filho L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Nascimento L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 68 / 155 43.9% 40.1% 114 / 289 39.4% 40.1%
In the clinch 6 / 9 too few to rate 68.8% 8 / 10 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 13 / 18 too few to rate 71.1% 16 / 24 too few to rate 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 38 / 111 34.2% 35.2% 106 / 279 38.0% 35.2%
To the body 26 / 38 68.4% 68.2% 26 / 34 76.5% 68.2%
To the legs 23 / 33 69.7% 80.3% 6 / 10 too few to rate 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

956.3% acc · 2.36/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
525.0% acc · 1.05/15 · norm 1.30
947.4% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
743.8% def · norm 62.5%
16:5729.7% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
23:5133.4% of cage time · norm 17.0%
21:525:44 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
23:064:50 per 15 · norm 2:44
71.84/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
51.05/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Filho has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.