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Jack Hermansson vs. Myktybek Orolbai

UFC 11-8-0 vs. 5-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
11-8-0
UFC record
5-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38
AgeΔ 10 yrs
28
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
77"
ReachΔ 3"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
10.9
Layoff (months)Δ 8.7 mo
2.2
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Myktybek Orolbai hunts takedowns — 8.22 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Myktybek Orolbai owns the mat — in control 54% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Jack Hermansson outworks the Middleweight division — 5.15 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.23 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Jack Hermansson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1110
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.18 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.9 wins over .500

Myktybek Orolbai

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 51
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.54 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10485.15/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
1972.70/min · norm 3.17
7573.72/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1822.49/min · norm 3.08
45.3%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
52.3%norm 44.75%
57.0%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
52.6%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.41/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Jack Hermansson

Distance 86.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 10.0%)

Myktybek Orolbai

Distance 73.5% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 1.9% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 24.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Jack Hermansson

Head 73.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 8.4%)

Myktybek Orolbai

Head 83.0% (norm 78.3%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hermansson L/AAccMiddleweight med Orolbai L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 812 / 1997 40.7% 40.5% 121 / 277 43.7% 38.5%
In the clinch 77 / 104 74.0% 70.6% 6 / 7 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 159 / 215 74.0% 69.4% 70 / 93 75.3% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 591 / 1703 34.7% 38.8% 150 / 313 47.9% 36.4%
To the body 208 / 316 65.8% 71.6% 26 / 36 72.2% 70.7%
To the legs 249 / 297 83.8% 83.3% 21 / 28 75.0% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hermansson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Orolbai L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 655 / 1614 40.6% 39.5% 138 / 330 41.8% 39.1%
In the clinch 44 / 64 68.8% 70.4% 19 / 25 76.0% 68.9%
On the ground 58 / 82 70.7% 69.0% 25 / 29 86.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 544 / 1453 37.4% 37.9% 115 / 301 38.2% 35.6%
To the body 169 / 243 69.5% 71.3% 36 / 48 75.0% 69.6%
To the legs 44 / 64 68.8% 82.1% 31 / 35 88.6% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2029.9% acc · 1.48/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
4059.7% acc · 8.22/15 · norm 1.31
2180.8% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
436.4% def · norm 63.9%
35:0317.2% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
39:1953.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
21:371:35 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
6:021:14 per 15 · norm 3:15
50.37/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
20.41/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hermansson has more cage time on record.