BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ivan Jorge vs.
Joe Duffy

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Ivan Jorge · UFC
4-4-0 Joe Duffy · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
4-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
45
AgeΔ 7 yrs
38
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
73"
ReachΔ 0"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
132.6
Layoff (months)Δ 60 mo
72.6
LWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Duffy carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Ivan Jorge owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Joe Duffy is a submission threat — 0.72 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ivan Jorge

Full career not yet synced for Ivan Jorge — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Joe Duffy

Full career not yet synced for Joe Duffy — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1643.41/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1682.68/min · norm 3.42
1402.91/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2373.78/min · norm 3.37
49.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
34.4%norm 43.5%
59.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
54.6%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.48/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ivan Jorge

Distance 77.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 22.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

Joe Duffy

Distance 92.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ivan Jorge

Head 59.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 27.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.9% (norm 7.9%)

Joe Duffy

Head 84.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Jorge L/AAccLightweight med Duffy L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 106 / 256 41.4% 37.9% 143 / 451 31.7% 37.9%
In the clinch 58 / 76 76.3% 67.3% 13 / 20 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1% 12 / 18 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 64 / 196 32.7% 35.0% 110 / 411 26.8% 35.0%
To the body 62 / 90 68.9% 69.1% 35 / 52 67.3% 69.1%
To the legs 38 / 46 82.6% 81.9% 23 / 26 88.5% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Jorge L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Duffy L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 95 / 282 33.7% 38.9% 173 / 426 40.6% 38.9%
In the clinch 41 / 59 69.5% 68.6% 30 / 45 66.7% 68.6%
On the ground 4 / 8 too few to rate 68.0% 34 / 51 66.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 103 / 294 35.0% 35.1% 137 / 387 35.4% 35.1%
To the body 26 / 42 61.9% 68.1% 50 / 71 70.4% 68.1%
To the legs 11 / 13 too few to rate 81.5% 50 / 64 78.1% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

516.1% acc · 1.56/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
466.7% acc · 0.96/15 · norm 1.38
375.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1664.0% def · norm 64.0%
16:1833.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
5:589.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
2:110:40 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
15:573:49 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.62/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
30.72/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Duffy has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.