BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Istela Nunes vs.
Ariane Carnelossi

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-5-0 Istela Nunes · UFC
3-4-0 Ariane Carnelossi · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-5-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
34
AgeΔ 0.3 yrs
33.7
5'4"
HeightΔ 2"
5'2"
66"
ReachΔ 5"
61"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
16
Layoff (months)Δ 14 mo
2
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Istela Nunes rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Ariane Carnelossi's takedown defense leaks — 23% stopped, vs a 64% Women's Strawweight norm.
Opponents land 50% of their head shots on Ariane Carnelossi, vs a 36% Women's Strawweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Istela Nunes

Full career not yet synced for Istela Nunes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Ariane Carnelossi

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 34
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2254.28/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
1902.68/min · norm 3.77
2144.07/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
3324.69/min · norm 3.94
47.4%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
38.6%norm 44.5%
59.7%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
43.6%norm 54.4%
10.29/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Istela Nunes

Distance 93.3% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 1.1% (norm 5.0%)

Ariane Carnelossi

Distance 84.3% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Istela Nunes

Head 69.9% (norm 76.4%) · Body 20.0% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 10.1% (norm 9.1%)

Ariane Carnelossi

Head 81.5% (norm 76.4%) · Body 9.3% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nunes L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Carnelossi L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 200 / 443 45.1% 38.3% 145 / 415 34.9% 38.3%
In the clinch 24 / 27 88.9% 72.6% 30 / 59 50.8% 72.6%
On the ground 1 / 5 too few to rate 75.0% 15 / 18 too few to rate 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 117 / 332 35.2% 35.4% 126 / 401 31.4% 35.4%
To the body 66 / 95 69.5% 69.3% 26 / 46 56.5% 69.3%
To the legs 42 / 48 87.5% 77.9% 38 / 45 84.4% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nunes L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Carnelossi L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 160 / 445 36.0% 39.7% 197 / 425 46.4% 39.7%
In the clinch 18 / 31 58.1% 71.5% 83 / 102 81.4% 71.5%
On the ground 36 / 55 65.5% 74.4% 52 / 62 83.9% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 167 / 453 36.9% 36.0% 225 / 450 50.0% 36.0%
To the body 32 / 59 54.2% 68.4% 89 / 117 76.1% 68.4%
To the legs 15 / 19 too few to rate 79.1% 18 / 22 too few to rate 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
550.0% acc · 1.06/15 · norm 1.10
1047.6% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
522.7% def · norm 64.1%
3:306.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
12:3717.8% of cage time · norm 19.4%
18:005:07 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
27:195:47 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
10.21/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Carnelossi has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.