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Ian Machado Garry vs. Michael Page

UFC 10-2-0 vs. 5-1-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-2-0
UFC record
5-1-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
28
AgeΔ 11 yrs
39
6'3"
HeightΔ 0"
6'3"
74"
ReachΔ 5"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 0.7 mo
1.5
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Michael Page rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.
Michael Page is hard to hit — absorbs 1.40 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.20 Middleweight norm.
Ian Machado Garry rarely shoots — 0.80 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Ian Machado Garry

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 101
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.11 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.9 wins over .500

Michael Page

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 213
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.09 · 21 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8044.29/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1731.92/min · norm 3.23
4862.59/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1261.40/min · norm 3.20
53.7%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
55.3%norm 47.4%
52.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
62.6%norm 53.8%
40.32/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ian Machado Garry

Distance 92.5% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.1%)

Michael Page

Distance 94.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 1.3% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ian Machado Garry

Head 70.8% (norm 78.3%) · Body 14.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 8.0%)

Michael Page

Head 73.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 11.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Garry L/AAccWelterweight med Page L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 726 / 1386 52.4% 38.5% 160 / 296 54.1% 40.5%
In the clinch 45 / 64 70.3% 67.8% 10 / 13 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 33 / 48 68.8% 67.0% 3 / 4 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 444 / 1060 41.9% 36.4% 109 / 230 47.4% 38.8%
To the body 164 / 218 75.2% 70.7% 37 / 48 77.1% 71.6%
To the legs 196 / 220 89.1% 83.0% 27 / 35 77.1% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Garry L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Page L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 418 / 932 44.8% 39.1% 85 / 282 30.1% 39.5%
In the clinch 40 / 59 67.8% 68.9% 19 / 27 70.4% 70.4%
On the ground 28 / 38 73.7% 68.0% 22 / 28 78.6% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 255 / 731 34.9% 35.6% 50 / 226 22.1% 37.9%
To the body 99 / 137 72.3% 69.6% 34 / 47 72.3% 71.3%
To the legs 132 / 161 82.0% 82.2% 42 / 64 65.6% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1031.3% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.35
3271.1% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1463.6% def · norm 63.3%
19:2410.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
5:416.3% of cage time · norm 19.4%
42:593:26 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
29:004:50 per 15 · norm 3:00
40.32/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
10.17/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Garry has more cage time on record.