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Ian Machado Garry vs. Islam Makhachev

UFC 10-2-0 vs. 18-1-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-2-0
UFC record
18-1-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
28
AgeΔ 6 yrs
34
6'3"
HeightΔ 5"
5'10"
74"
ReachΔ 4"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
2.2
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Islam Makhachev owns the mat — in control 51% of cage time, vs a 19% Lightweight norm.
Islam Makhachev hunts takedowns — 3.22 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Ian Machado Garry rarely shoots — 0.80 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Ian Machado Garry

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 101
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.11 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.9 wins over .500

Islam Makhachev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 171
Tier 3 — regional circuit 110

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.04 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8044.29/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
5072.27/min · norm 3.44
4862.59/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3161.42/min · norm 3.38
53.7%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
58.0%norm 43.65%
52.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
61.5%norm 56.3%
40.32/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.34/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ian Machado Garry

Distance 92.5% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.1%)

Islam Makhachev

Distance 69.0% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 12.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ian Machado Garry

Head 70.8% (norm 78.3%) · Body 14.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 8.0%)

Islam Makhachev

Head 80.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Garry L/AAccWelterweight med Makhachev L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 726 / 1386 52.4% 38.5% 293 / 603 48.6% 38.3%
In the clinch 45 / 64 70.3% 67.8% 95 / 112 84.8% 67.5%
On the ground 33 / 48 68.8% 67.0% 119 / 159 74.8% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 444 / 1060 41.9% 36.4% 353 / 703 50.2% 35.1%
To the body 164 / 218 75.2% 70.7% 117 / 131 89.3% 69.1%
To the legs 196 / 220 89.1% 83.0% 37 / 40 92.5% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Garry L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Makhachev L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 418 / 932 44.8% 39.1% 228 / 707 32.2% 38.8%
In the clinch 40 / 59 67.8% 68.9% 69 / 84 82.1% 68.6%
On the ground 28 / 38 73.7% 68.0% 19 / 29 65.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 255 / 731 34.9% 35.6% 150 / 566 26.5% 35.2%
To the body 99 / 137 72.3% 69.6% 110 / 178 61.8% 68.2%
To the legs 132 / 161 82.0% 82.2% 56 / 76 73.7% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1031.3% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
4854.5% acc · 3.22/15 · norm 1.34
3271.1% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2191.3% def · norm 63.7%
19:2410.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
113:5851.0% of cage time · norm 18.95%
42:593:26 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
15:521:03 per 15 · norm 2:50
40.32/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
130.87/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Makhachev has more cage time on record.