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Ian Machado Garry vs. Carlos Prates

UFC 10-2-0 vs. 7-1-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-2-0
UFC record
7-1-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
28
AgeΔ 5 yrs
33
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
74"
ReachΔ 4"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 3.4 mo
5.6
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Carlos Prates carries real power — 2.32 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Carlos Prates rarely shoots — 0.19 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Ian Machado Garry rarely shoots — 0.80 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Ian Machado Garry

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 101
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.11 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.9 wins over .500

Carlos Prates

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 102
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 125

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.22 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8044.29/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3394.38/min · norm 3.17
4862.59/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3374.35/min · norm 3.08
53.7%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
54.1%norm 44.75%
52.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
47.7%norm 55.25%
40.32/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
122.32/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ian Machado Garry

Distance 92.5% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.1%)

Carlos Prates

Distance 93.1% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 1.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 5.9% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ian Machado Garry

Head 70.8% (norm 78.3%) · Body 14.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 8.0%)

Carlos Prates

Head 72.1% (norm 78.3%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Garry L/AAccWelterweight med Prates L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 726 / 1386 52.4% 38.5% 307 / 584 52.6% 38.5%
In the clinch 45 / 64 70.3% 67.8% 3 / 6 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 33 / 48 68.8% 67.0% 29 / 37 78.4% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 444 / 1060 41.9% 36.4% 203 / 452 44.9% 36.4%
To the body 164 / 218 75.2% 70.7% 61 / 86 70.9% 70.7%
To the legs 196 / 220 89.1% 83.0% 75 / 89 84.3% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Garry L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Prates L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 418 / 932 44.8% 39.1% 325 / 624 52.1% 39.1%
In the clinch 40 / 59 67.8% 68.9% 8 / 15 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 28 / 38 73.7% 68.0% 4 / 5 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 255 / 731 34.9% 35.6% 182 / 434 41.9% 35.6%
To the body 99 / 137 72.3% 69.6% 40 / 67 59.7% 69.6%
To the legs 132 / 161 82.0% 82.2% 115 / 143 80.4% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1031.3% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
1100.0% acc · 0.19/15 · norm 1.31
3271.1% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
3179.5% def · norm 63.9%
19:2410.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
3:474.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
42:593:26 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
11:222:12 per 15 · norm 3:15
40.32/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Garry has more cage time on record.