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Ian Machado Garry vs. Belal Muhammad

UFC 10-2-0 vs. 15-6-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-2-0
UFC record
15-6-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
28
AgeΔ 10 yrs
38
6'3"
HeightΔ 4"
5'11"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.2
Layoff (months)Δ 2.3 mo
4.5
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Belal Muhammad hunts takedowns — 1.98 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Ian Machado Garry rarely shoots — 0.80 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Belal Muhammad outworks the Welterweight division — 4.36 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Ian Machado Garry

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 101
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.11 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.9 wins over .500

Belal Muhammad

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 176
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.39 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8044.29/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
15154.36/min · norm 3.17
4862.59/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
13623.92/min · norm 3.08
53.7%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 44.75%
52.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
55.2%norm 55.25%
40.32/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ian Machado Garry

Distance 92.5% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.1%)

Belal Muhammad

Distance 91.5% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ian Machado Garry

Head 70.8% (norm 78.3%) · Body 14.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 8.0%)

Belal Muhammad

Head 86.6% (norm 78.3%) · Body 9.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.3% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Garry L/AAccWelterweight med Muhammad L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 726 / 1386 52.4% 38.5% 1324 / 3270 40.5% 38.5%
In the clinch 45 / 64 70.3% 67.8% 72 / 124 58.1% 67.8%
On the ground 33 / 48 68.8% 67.0% 119 / 178 66.9% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 444 / 1060 41.9% 36.4% 1166 / 3095 37.7% 36.4%
To the body 164 / 218 75.2% 70.7% 219 / 324 67.6% 70.7%
To the legs 196 / 220 89.1% 83.0% 130 / 153 85.0% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Garry L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Muhammad L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 418 / 932 44.8% 39.1% 1257 / 2896 43.4% 39.1%
In the clinch 40 / 59 67.8% 68.9% 68 / 86 79.1% 68.9%
On the ground 28 / 38 73.7% 68.0% 37 / 57 64.9% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 255 / 731 34.9% 35.6% 780 / 2308 33.8% 35.6%
To the body 99 / 137 72.3% 69.6% 245 / 350 70.0% 69.6%
To the legs 132 / 161 82.0% 82.2% 337 / 381 88.5% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1031.3% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
4635.9% acc · 1.98/15 · norm 1.31
3271.1% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4890.6% def · norm 63.9%
19:2410.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
76:1821.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
42:593:26 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
18:530:48 per 15 · norm 3:15
40.32/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
30.13/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Muhammad has more cage time on record.