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Grant Dawson vs. Julian Erosa

UFC 12-2-1 vs. 9-9-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
12-2-1
UFC record
9-9-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
32
AgeΔ 5 yrs
37
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
6'1"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
74"
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5.4
Layoff (months)Δ 1.4 mo
6.8
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Grant Dawson owns the mat — in control 65% of cage time, vs a 19% Lightweight norm.
Grant Dawson hunts takedowns — 3.62 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Julian Erosa absorbs 6.23 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.50 Featherweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Grant Dawson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 132
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.65 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Julian Erosa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 109
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 213

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.92 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 26 finish wins over 44 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5283.11/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
8556.06/min · norm 3.52
3742.20/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
8786.23/min · norm 3.50
51.2%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
48.0%norm 44.7%
44.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
49.2%norm 54.8%
10.09/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.11/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Grant Dawson

Distance 64.1% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 29.6% (norm 8.0%)

Julian Erosa

Distance 85.7% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Grant Dawson

Head 77.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 8.0%)

Julian Erosa

Head 78.2% (norm 77.5%) · Body 16.4% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dawson L/AAccLightweight med Erosa L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 265 / 662 40.0% 38.3% 664 / 1528 43.5% 40.5%
In the clinch 52 / 65 80.0% 67.5% 139 / 196 70.9% 70.5%
On the ground 211 / 305 69.2% 68.8% 52 / 59 88.1% 69.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 362 / 797 45.4% 35.1% 566 / 1394 40.6% 37.1%
To the body 100 / 157 63.7% 69.1% 208 / 292 71.2% 68.0%
To the legs 66 / 78 84.6% 81.8% 81 / 97 83.5% 80.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Featherweight: 127 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dawson L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Erosa L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 272 / 549 49.5% 38.8% 738 / 1504 49.1% 39.3%
In the clinch 44 / 50 88.0% 68.6% 83 / 133 62.4% 70.3%
On the ground 58 / 79 73.4% 68.0% 57 / 93 61.3% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 247 / 509 48.5% 35.2% 643 / 1431 44.9% 35.9%
To the body 85 / 119 71.4% 68.2% 115 / 153 75.2% 68.0%
To the legs 42 / 50 84.0% 81.5% 120 / 146 82.2% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
4139.0% acc · 3.62/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
1744.7% acc · 1.81/15 · norm 1.17
770.0% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
2461.5% def · norm 61.5%
110:2665.1% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
21:4115.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
12:051:04 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
19:272:04 per 15 · norm 3:11
141.24/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
70.74/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Erosa has more cage time on record.