BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Grant Dawson vs.
Darrick Minner

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-2-1 Grant Dawson · UFC
2-4-0 Darrick Minner · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-2-1
UFC record
2-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
32
AgeΔ 4 yrs
36
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
5'7"
72"
ReachΔ 3"
69"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
3
Layoff (months)Δ 42 mo
45
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Darrick Minner is a submission threat — 2.85 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Grant Dawson owns the mat — in control 65% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Darrick Minner owns the mat — in control 48% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Grant Dawson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 132
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.65 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Darrick Minner

Full career not yet synced for Darrick Minner — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5283.11/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1142.40/min · norm 3.54
3742.20/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1092.30/min · norm 3.47
51.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
67.5%norm 45.0%
44.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
34.3%norm 54.85%
10.09/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.32/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Grant Dawson

Distance 64.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 29.6% (norm 8.0%)

Darrick Minner

Distance 52.7% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 18.3% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 29.0% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Grant Dawson

Head 77.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.9%)

Darrick Minner

Head 68.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 19.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 12.4% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dawson L/AAccLightweight med Minner L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 265 / 662 40.0% 37.9% 52 / 89 58.4% 40.9%
In the clinch 52 / 65 80.0% 67.3% 26 / 31 83.9% 70.8%
On the ground 211 / 305 69.2% 69.1% 36 / 49 73.5% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 362 / 797 45.4% 35.0% 67 / 115 58.3% 37.2%
To the body 100 / 157 63.7% 69.1% 31 / 33 93.9% 68.2%
To the legs 66 / 78 84.6% 81.9% 16 / 21 too few to rate 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dawson L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Minner L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 272 / 549 49.5% 38.9% 22 / 48 45.8% 39.2%
In the clinch 44 / 50 88.0% 68.6% 3 / 5 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 58 / 79 73.4% 68.0% 84 / 113 74.3% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 247 / 509 48.5% 35.1% 82 / 136 60.3% 35.9%
To the body 85 / 119 71.4% 68.1% 25 / 26 96.2% 67.9%
To the legs 42 / 50 84.0% 81.5% 2 / 4 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4139.0% acc · 3.62/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
888.9% acc · 2.53/15 · norm 1.19
770.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
666.7% def · norm 61.5%
110:2665.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
22:4548.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
12:051:04 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
14:484:40 per 15 · norm 3:12
141.24/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
92.85/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dawson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.