BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Gabe Green vs.
Ian Machado Garry

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-3-0 Gabe Green · UFC
10-1-0 Ian Machado Garry · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-3-0
UFC record
10-1-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
33
AgeΔ 5 yrs
28
5'10"
HeightΔ 5"
6'3"
73"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
14.7
Layoff (months)Δ 6.3 mo
8.4
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Gabe Green absorbs 6.19 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Gabe Green outworks the Welterweight division — 5.60 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Ian Machado Garry outworks the Welterweight division — 4.78 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Gabe Green

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 54
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.05 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Ian Machado Garry

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 101
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.11 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3535.60/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
7754.78/min · norm 3.17
3906.19/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
4642.86/min · norm 3.06
45.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
54.1%norm 44.9%
47.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
52.9%norm 55.25%
20.48/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
40.37/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Gabe Green

Distance 93.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.3% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 8.1%)

Ian Machado Garry

Distance 92.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Gabe Green

Head 69.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 13.0% (norm 8.4%)

Ian Machado Garry

Head 71.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Green L/AAccWelterweight med Garry L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 318 / 731 43.5% 38.6% 704 / 1329 53.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 11 / 18 too few to rate 67.8% 38 / 56 67.9% 67.8%
On the ground 24 / 33 72.7% 67.2% 33 / 48 68.8% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 160 / 544 29.4% 37.2% 437 / 1020 42.8% 37.2%
To the body 108 / 136 79.4% 70.7% 148 / 201 73.6% 70.7%
To the legs 85 / 102 83.3% 82.9% 190 / 212 89.6% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Green L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Garry L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 369 / 714 51.7% 39.0% 403 / 896 45.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 10 / 12 too few to rate 68.9% 34 / 52 65.4% 68.9%
On the ground 11 / 13 too few to rate 68.0% 27 / 37 73.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 275 / 594 46.3% 35.6% 246 / 700 35.1% 35.6%
To the body 67 / 86 77.9% 69.6% 96 / 134 71.6% 69.6%
To the legs 48 / 59 81.4% 82.1% 122 / 151 80.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

350.0% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1031.3% acc · 0.92/15 · norm 1.27
850.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2480.0% def · norm 63.9%
8:3413.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
18:5011.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
11:062:38 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
30:292:49 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.48/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.37/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Garry has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.