BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Francisco Trinaldo vs.
John Makdessi

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

18-8-0 Francisco Trinaldo · UFC
11-9-0 John Makdessi · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

18-8-0
UFC record
11-9-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
48
AgeΔ 6.7 yrs
41.3
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
68"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
46.2
Layoff (months)Δ 11.3 mo
34.9
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

John Makdessi rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
John Makdessi outworks the Lightweight division — 5.52 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
Francisco Trinaldo rarely shoots — 0.98 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Francisco Trinaldo

Full career not yet synced for Francisco Trinaldo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

John Makdessi

Full career not yet synced for John Makdessi — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10093.13/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
13405.52/min · norm 3.42
8602.67/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
10084.15/min · norm 3.37
45.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
49.8%norm 43.5%
60.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
68.0%norm 56.3%
50.23/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
60.37/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Francisco Trinaldo

Distance 80.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.0%)

John Makdessi

Distance 93.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Francisco Trinaldo

Head 77.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.9%)

John Makdessi

Head 63.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 21.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 15.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Trinaldo L/AAccLightweight med Makdessi L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 703 / 1789 39.3% 37.9% 1249 / 2520 49.6% 37.9%
In the clinch 168 / 238 70.6% 67.3% 64 / 115 55.7% 67.3%
On the ground 138 / 203 68.0% 69.1% 27 / 55 49.1% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 616 / 1723 35.8% 35.0% 678 / 1707 39.7% 35.0%
To the body 277 / 375 73.9% 69.1% 325 / 567 57.3% 69.1%
To the legs 116 / 132 87.9% 81.9% 337 / 416 81.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Trinaldo L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Makdessi L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 679 / 1932 35.1% 38.9% 942 / 3050 30.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 100 / 134 74.6% 68.6% 41 / 66 62.1% 68.6%
On the ground 81 / 125 64.8% 68.0% 25 / 38 65.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 442 / 1598 27.7% 35.1% 572 / 2497 22.9% 35.1%
To the body 249 / 390 63.8% 68.1% 204 / 363 56.2% 68.1%
To the legs 169 / 203 83.3% 81.5% 232 / 294 78.9% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2142.0% acc · 0.98/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
4460.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
4486.3% def · norm 64.0%
64:5920.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
3:481.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
54:562:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
9:310:35 per 15 · norm 2:46
110.51/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Trinaldo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.