BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ethyn Ewing vs.
Rafael Estevam

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-0-0 Ethyn Ewing · UFC
3-1-0 Rafael Estevam · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-0-0
UFC record
3-1-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
28
AgeΔ 1 yrs
29
Height
5'8"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
4.1
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
4.1
WW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rafael Estevam hunts takedowns — 5.02 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Rafael Estevam owns the mat — in control 52% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Ethyn Ewing outworks the Bantamweight division — 7.44 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.52 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ethyn Ewing

Full career not yet synced for Ethyn Ewing — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Rafael Estevam

Full career not yet synced for Rafael Estevam — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1997.44/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
1061.87/min · norm 3.49
1214.53/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
2474.35/min · norm 3.24
55.3%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
32.3%norm 44.6%
63.4%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
45.0%norm 56.4%
10.56/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ethyn Ewing

Distance 90.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 9.2% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 0.6% (norm 6.5%)

Rafael Estevam

Distance 91.5% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 2.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 6.1% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ethyn Ewing

Head 87.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 8.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.6% (norm 8.4%)

Rafael Estevam

Head 80.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 12.5% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ewing L/AAccBantamweight med Estevam L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 174 / 325 53.5% 39.0% 89 / 300 29.7% 40.0%
In the clinch 23 / 33 69.7% 68.7% 5 / 8 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 2 / 2 too few to rate 70.2% 12 / 20 too few to rate 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 158 / 315 50.2% 34.9% 73 / 263 27.8% 37.6%
To the body 30 / 32 93.8% 66.8% 19 / 41 46.3% 68.5%
To the legs 11 / 13 too few to rate 79.4% 14 / 24 too few to rate 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ewing L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Estevam L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 97 / 300 32.3% 39.3% 216 / 397 54.4% 40.1%
In the clinch 24 / 31 77.4% 70.4% 27 / 46 58.7% 68.8%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 72.4% 4 / 6 too few to rate 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 70 / 252 27.8% 34.9% 167 / 351 47.6% 35.2%
To the body 38 / 50 76.0% 66.0% 56 / 70 80.0% 68.2%
To the legs 13 / 29 44.8% 79.1% 24 / 28 85.7% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

360.0% acc · 1.68/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
1932.8% acc · 5.02/15 · norm 1.30
11100.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
466.7% def · norm 62.5%
1:416.3% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
29:2751.9% of cage time · norm 17.0%
1:110:39 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
2:220:37 per 15 · norm 2:44
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.26/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Estevam has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.