BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Eryk Anders vs.
Christian Leroy Duncan

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-9-0 (1 NC) Eryk Anders · UFC
8-2-0 Christian Leroy Duncan · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-9-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
8-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
39
AgeΔ 8 yrs
31
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
75"
ReachΔ 4"
79"
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
4.8
Layoff (months)Δ 4.2 mo
0.6
WLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Christian Leroy Duncan rarely shoots — 0.43 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Eryk Anders owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Eryk Anders carries real power — 0.44 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Eryk Anders

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 119
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.1 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Christian Leroy Duncan

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 82
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.05 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8193.44/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
4694.45/min · norm 3.25
9614.03/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
2492.36/min · norm 3.20
47.9%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
58.0%norm 47.4%
50.5%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
54.1%norm 53.8%
70.44/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.43/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Eryk Anders

Distance 68.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 17.8% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 13.6% (norm 10.3%)

Christian Leroy Duncan

Distance 80.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 14.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Eryk Anders

Head 81.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.3% (norm 8.4%)

Christian Leroy Duncan

Head 63.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 22.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Anders L/AAccMiddleweight med Duncan L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 450 / 1174 38.3% 40.5% 347 / 648 53.5% 40.5%
In the clinch 208 / 305 68.2% 70.3% 91 / 119 76.5% 70.3%
On the ground 161 / 232 69.4% 69.1% 31 / 42 73.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 571 / 1390 41.1% 38.9% 232 / 512 45.3% 38.9%
To the body 206 / 265 77.7% 71.7% 79 / 116 68.1% 71.7%
To the legs 42 / 56 75.0% 83.3% 158 / 181 87.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Anders L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Duncan L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 721 / 1605 44.9% 39.5% 194 / 462 42.0% 39.5%
In the clinch 199 / 251 79.3% 70.9% 47 / 70 67.1% 70.9%
On the ground 41 / 84 48.8% 69.0% 8 / 10 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 523 / 1397 37.4% 37.9% 132 / 388 34.0% 37.9%
To the body 241 / 314 76.8% 71.3% 52 / 73 71.2% 71.3%
To the legs 197 / 229 86.0% 82.1% 65 / 81 80.2% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2925.4% acc · 1.83/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
320.0% acc · 0.43/15 · norm 1.42
3780.4% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2257.9% def · norm 63.1%
72:5930.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
21:2720.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
19:511:14 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
31:434:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.06/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Anders has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.