BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Erin Blanchfield vs.
Rose Namajunas

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-1-0 Erin Blanchfield · UFC
12-7-0 Rose Namajunas · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-1-0
UFC record
12-7-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
27.3
AgeΔ 6.8 yrs
34.1
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'5"
66"
ReachΔ 1"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
8.7
Layoff (months)Δ 2.3 mo
6.4
WWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Erin Blanchfield is a submission threat — 0.86 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Erin Blanchfield owns the mat — in control 38% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Flyweight norm.
Rose Namajunas hunts takedowns — 1.47 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Erin Blanchfield

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 81
Tier 3 — regional circuit 61

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.65 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Rose Namajunas

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 127
Tier 3 — regional circuit 21

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6435.24/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
10403.50/min · norm 3.77
5214.25/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
10043.38/min · norm 3.94
44.4%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
41.1%norm 44.5%
58.8%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
63.7%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
60.30/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Erin Blanchfield

Distance 86.1% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 9.2% (norm 4.9%)

Rose Namajunas

Distance 90.5% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Erin Blanchfield

Head 84.3% (norm 78.1%) · Body 9.0% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 7.7%)

Rose Namajunas

Head 83.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 11.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Blanchfield L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Namajunas L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 496 / 1247 39.8% 39.9% 871 / 2290 38.0% 38.3%
In the clinch 43 / 68 63.2% 73.3% 71 / 107 66.4% 72.6%
On the ground 104 / 133 78.2% 74.7% 98 / 133 73.7% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 454 / 1220 37.2% 34.9% 744 / 2105 35.3% 35.4%
To the body 102 / 130 78.5% 69.5% 195 / 300 65.0% 69.3%
To the legs 87 / 98 88.8% 82.6% 101 / 125 80.8% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Blanchfield L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Namajunas L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 496 / 1208 41.1% 38.8% 836 / 2511 33.3% 39.7%
In the clinch 25 / 56 44.6% 74.1% 115 / 175 65.7% 71.5%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 73.4% 53 / 78 67.9% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 365 / 1058 34.5% 35.3% 510 / 2078 24.5% 36.0%
To the body 76 / 120 63.3% 69.0% 216 / 344 62.8% 68.4%
To the legs 80 / 86 93.0% 78.7% 278 / 342 81.3% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1634.0% acc · 1.96/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
2948.3% acc · 1.47/15 · norm 1.10
1878.3% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
4162.1% def · norm 64.1%
47:0338.4% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
58:3619.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
2:350:18 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
29:461:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
70.86/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
70.35/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Namajunas has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.