BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Elias Theodorou vs.
Roger Narvaez

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-3-0 Elias Theodorou · UFC
1-2-0 Roger Narvaez · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-3-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
38.2
AgeΔ 4.7 yrs
42.9
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
75"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
87.1
Layoff (months)Δ 49.7 mo
136.8
LWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Roger Narvaez is a submission threat — 0.95 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Roger Narvaez rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Elias Theodorou outworks the Middleweight division — 4.19 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Elias Theodorou

Full career not yet synced for Elias Theodorou — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Roger Narvaez

Full career not yet synced for Roger Narvaez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6444.19/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
672.12/min · norm 3.25
3672.39/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1053.32/min · norm 3.20
42.3%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
37.0%norm 47.4%
53.0%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
64.8%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.47/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Elias Theodorou

Distance 78.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 15.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 6.1% (norm 10.3%)

Roger Narvaez

Distance 89.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 8.8% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Elias Theodorou

Head 59.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 24.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 16.3% (norm 8.4%)

Roger Narvaez

Head 79.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Theodorou L/AAccMiddleweight med Narvaez L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 407 / 1191 34.2% 40.5% 55 / 162 34.0% 40.5%
In the clinch 165 / 240 68.8% 70.3% 3 / 3 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 72 / 93 77.4% 69.1% 9 / 16 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 279 / 909 30.7% 38.9% 42 / 143 29.4% 38.9%
To the body 211 / 366 57.7% 71.7% 16 / 23 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 154 / 249 61.8% 83.3% 9 / 15 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Theodorou L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Narvaez L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 227 / 583 38.9% 39.5% 57 / 228 25.0% 39.5%
In the clinch 130 / 186 69.9% 70.9% 8 / 12 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 10 / 12 too few to rate 69.0% 40 / 58 69.0% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 215 / 574 37.5% 37.9% 68 / 228 29.8% 37.9%
To the body 98 / 135 72.6% 71.3% 19 / 43 44.2% 71.3%
To the legs 54 / 72 75.0% 82.1% 18 / 27 66.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1328.3% acc · 1.27/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
2959.2% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
550.0% def · norm 63.1%
33:5522.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
3:4211.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
21:122:04 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
6:142:57 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
20.95/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Theodorou has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.