BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Edson Barboza vs.
Bryce Mitchell

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

18-14-0 Edson Barboza · UFC
10-3-0 Bryce Mitchell · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

18-14-0
UFC record
10-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
40
AgeΔ 9 yrs
31
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
75"
ReachΔ 5"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
8
Layoff (months)Δ 6 mo
2
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Bryce Mitchell owns the mat — in control 55% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Bryce Mitchell is a submission threat — 1.27 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Edson Barboza carries real power — 0.63 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Edson Barboza

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1814
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.06 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-12 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Bryce Mitchell

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 103
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.54 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15864.14/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3372.19/min · norm 3.54
17924.68/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2321.51/min · norm 3.47
44.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
59.0%norm 45.0%
55.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
58.9%norm 54.85%
160.63/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.10/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Edson Barboza

Distance 94.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 8.0%)

Bryce Mitchell

Distance 67.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 25.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Edson Barboza

Head 65.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.1% (norm 7.9%)

Bryce Mitchell

Head 64.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 26.3% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.3% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Barboza L/AAccLightweight med Mitchell L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1447 / 3362 43.0% 37.9% 188 / 384 49.0% 40.9%
In the clinch 79 / 97 81.4% 67.3% 30 / 40 75.0% 70.8%
On the ground 60 / 92 65.2% 69.1% 119 / 147 81.0% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 694 / 2329 29.8% 35.0% 192 / 368 52.2% 37.2%
To the body 500 / 720 69.4% 69.1% 100 / 150 66.7% 68.2%
To the legs 392 / 502 78.1% 81.9% 45 / 53 84.9% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Barboza L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Mitchell L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1445 / 3555 40.6% 38.9% 167 / 471 35.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 76 / 116 65.5% 68.6% 12 / 22 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 271 / 373 72.7% 68.0% 53 / 72 73.6% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 1302 / 3359 38.8% 35.1% 145 / 434 33.4% 35.9%
To the body 244 / 387 63.0% 68.1% 57 / 95 60.0% 67.9%
To the legs 246 / 298 82.6% 81.5% 30 / 36 83.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1150.0% acc · 0.43/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
3236.4% acc · 3.12/15 · norm 1.19
7673.1% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
538.5% def · norm 61.5%
24:396.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
84:3755.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
66:532:37 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
23:302:17 per 15 · norm 3:12
20.08/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
131.27/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Barboza has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.