BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Dustin Poirier vs.
Erik Koch

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

22-9-0 (1 NC) Dustin Poirier · UFC
5-5-0 Erik Koch · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

22-9-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
5-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
37.5
AgeΔ 0.3 yrs
37.8
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
12.6
Layoff (months)Δ 71.7 mo
84.3
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Dustin Poirier carries real power — 0.65 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Dustin Poirier is a submission threat — 1.08 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Erik Koch is a submission threat — 0.92 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Dustin Poirier

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 229
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.44 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 23 finish wins over 41 documented bouts

In the UFC: 15-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Erik Koch

Full career not yet synced for Erik Koch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

18615.34/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2352.40/min · norm 3.42
16274.67/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
3303.37/min · norm 3.37
50.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
40.4%norm 43.5%
52.3%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
49.2%norm 56.3%
150.65/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.31/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Dustin Poirier

Distance 81.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 11.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.0% (norm 8.0%)

Erik Koch

Distance 79.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Dustin Poirier

Head 87.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)

Erik Koch

Head 85.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Poirier L/AAccLightweight med Koch L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1415 / 3044 46.5% 37.9% 143 / 464 30.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 280 / 419 66.8% 67.3% 45 / 59 76.3% 67.3%
On the ground 166 / 259 64.1% 69.1% 47 / 59 79.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 1490 / 3244 45.9% 35.0% 167 / 498 33.5% 35.0%
To the body 182 / 249 73.1% 69.1% 40 / 48 83.3% 69.1%
To the legs 189 / 229 82.5% 81.9% 28 / 36 77.8% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Poirier L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Koch L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1285 / 2951 43.5% 38.9% 140 / 393 35.6% 38.9%
In the clinch 197 / 277 71.1% 68.6% 84 / 108 77.8% 68.6%
On the ground 145 / 184 78.8% 68.0% 106 / 148 71.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1048 / 2658 39.4% 35.1% 189 / 449 42.1% 35.1%
To the body 364 / 491 74.1% 68.1% 88 / 127 69.3% 68.1%
To the legs 215 / 263 81.7% 81.5% 53 / 73 72.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2835.9% acc · 1.21/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
743.8% acc · 1.07/15 · norm 1.38
5863.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
5086.2% def · norm 64.0%
70:0220.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
20:3321.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
70:423:02 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
36:055:31 per 15 · norm 2:46
251.08/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
60.92/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Poirier has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.