BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Donald Cerrone vs.
John Makdessi

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

23-14-0 (1 NC) Donald Cerrone · UFC
11-9-0 John Makdessi · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

23-14-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
11-9-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43.4
AgeΔ 2.1 yrs
41.3
6'1"
HeightΔ 5"
5'8"
73"
ReachΔ 5"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
49.1
Layoff (months)Δ 14.2 mo
34.9
LLNCLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Donald Cerrone carries real power — 0.84 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
John Makdessi rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
John Makdessi outworks the Lightweight division — 5.52 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Donald Cerrone

Full career not yet synced for Donald Cerrone — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 20-13 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

John Makdessi

Full career not yet synced for John Makdessi — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

17484.90/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
13405.52/min · norm 3.42
18255.11/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
10084.15/min · norm 3.37
47.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
49.8%norm 43.5%
51.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
68.0%norm 56.3%
200.84/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
60.37/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Donald Cerrone

Distance 89.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.0%)

John Makdessi

Distance 93.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Donald Cerrone

Head 71.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 7.9%)

John Makdessi

Head 63.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 21.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 15.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cerrone L/AAccLightweight med Makdessi L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1478 / 3290 44.9% 37.9% 1249 / 2520 49.6% 37.9%
In the clinch 151 / 229 65.9% 67.3% 64 / 115 55.7% 67.3%
On the ground 119 / 172 69.2% 69.1% 27 / 55 49.1% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 893 / 2630 34.0% 35.0% 678 / 1707 39.7% 35.0%
To the body 442 / 589 75.0% 69.1% 325 / 567 57.3% 69.1%
To the legs 413 / 472 87.5% 81.9% 337 / 416 81.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cerrone L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Makdessi L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1558 / 3375 46.2% 38.9% 942 / 3050 30.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 211 / 305 69.2% 68.6% 41 / 66 62.1% 68.6%
On the ground 56 / 88 63.6% 68.0% 25 / 38 65.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1069 / 2721 39.3% 35.1% 572 / 2497 22.9% 35.1%
To the body 444 / 668 66.5% 68.1% 204 / 363 56.2% 68.1%
To the legs 312 / 379 82.3% 81.5% 232 / 294 78.9% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2428.9% acc · 1.01/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
6288.6% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
4486.3% def · norm 64.0%
38:3610.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
3:481.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
19:550:50 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
9:310:35 per 15 · norm 2:46
110.46/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerrone has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.