BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Diego Lopes vs.
Steve Garcia

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-3-0 Diego Lopes · UFC
8-3-0 Steve Garcia · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-3-0
UFC record
8-3-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
31.6
AgeΔ 2.6 yrs
34.2
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
72"
ReachΔ 3"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
1.7
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
1.7
WLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Steve Garcia carries real power — 1.76 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Diego Lopes carries real power — 0.77 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Diego Lopes is a submission threat — 1.02 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Diego Lopes

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 74
Tier 3 — regional circuit 214

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.09 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 24 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.6 wins over .500

Steve Garcia

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 145
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 41

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.58 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4623.94/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
3394.98/min · norm 3.54
5484.68/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
1372.01/min · norm 3.47
47.0%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
47.1%norm 45.0%
47.2%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
63.2%norm 54.85%
60.77/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
81.76/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Diego Lopes

Distance 79.1% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 16.0% (norm 6.5%)

Steve Garcia

Distance 78.5% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 2.9% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 18.6% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Diego Lopes

Head 80.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.6% (norm 7.8%)

Steve Garcia

Head 85.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.4% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lopes L/AAccFeatherweight med Garcia L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 320 / 777 41.2% 40.9% 235 / 565 41.6% 40.9%
In the clinch 34 / 48 70.8% 70.8% 12 / 21 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 108 / 157 68.8% 69.2% 92 / 134 68.7% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 334 / 792 42.2% 37.2% 254 / 614 41.4% 37.2%
To the body 56 / 96 58.3% 68.2% 50 / 68 73.5% 68.2%
To the legs 72 / 94 76.6% 80.7% 35 / 38 92.1% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lopes L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Garcia L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 456 / 927 49.2% 39.2% 92 / 304 30.3% 39.2%
In the clinch 27 / 33 81.8% 70.3% 8 / 12 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 65 / 78 83.3% 69.4% 37 / 56 66.1% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 433 / 876 49.4% 35.9% 110 / 330 33.3% 35.9%
To the body 38 / 61 62.3% 67.9% 14 / 29 48.3% 67.9%
To the legs 77 / 101 76.2% 81.5% 13 / 13 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

746.7% acc · 0.90/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
457.1% acc · 0.88/15 · norm 1.19
2374.2% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
1280.0% def · norm 61.5%
12:4810.9% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
10:2115.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
15:041:55 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
25:045:31 per 15 · norm 3:12
81.02/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
20.44/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Garcia has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.