BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Daniel Zellhuber vs.
Francisco Prado

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Daniel Zellhuber · UFC
1-5-0 Francisco Prado · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
1-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
27.1
AgeΔ 3 yrs
24.1
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
77"
ReachΔ 8"
69"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5.2
Layoff (months)Δ 1.4 mo
3.8
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Daniel Zellhuber rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Daniel Zellhuber absorbs 6.13 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Francisco Prado is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Daniel Zellhuber

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 110

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.12 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Francisco Prado

Full career not yet synced for Francisco Prado — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4765.10/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
2913.68/min · norm 3.17
5726.13/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
3414.31/min · norm 3.06
35.9%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
43.6%norm 44.9%
54.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
54.2%norm 55.25%
20.32/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.19/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Daniel Zellhuber

Distance 94.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 1.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.9% (norm 8.0%)

Francisco Prado

Distance 88.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Daniel Zellhuber

Head 79.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.2% (norm 7.9%)

Francisco Prado

Head 68.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Zellhuber L/AAccLightweight med Prado L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 437 / 1256 34.8% 37.9% 231 / 588 39.3% 38.6%
In the clinch 16 / 18 too few to rate 67.3% 20 / 24 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 23 / 52 44.2% 69.1% 40 / 55 72.7% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 300 / 1048 28.6% 35.0% 146 / 455 32.1% 37.2%
To the body 128 / 222 57.7% 69.1% 65 / 114 57.0% 70.7%
To the legs 48 / 56 85.7% 81.9% 80 / 98 81.6% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Zellhuber L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Prado L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 546 / 1228 44.5% 38.9% 282 / 665 42.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 13 / 15 too few to rate 68.6% 33 / 42 78.6% 68.9%
On the ground 13 / 18 too few to rate 68.0% 26 / 38 68.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 266 / 816 32.6% 35.1% 216 / 588 36.7% 35.6%
To the body 143 / 249 57.4% 68.1% 90 / 119 75.6% 69.6%
To the legs 163 / 196 83.2% 81.5% 35 / 38 92.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
419.0% acc · 0.76/15 · norm 1.27
1881.8% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
640.0% def · norm 63.9%
2:292.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
12:1915.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
3:470:36 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
17:123:15 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.32/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
40.76/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Zellhuber has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.