BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Colton Smith vs.
Diego Ferreira

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Colton Smith · UFC
10-7-0 Diego Ferreira · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
10-7-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
39
AgeΔ 2.5 yrs
41.5
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
71"
ReachΔ 3"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
145.3
Layoff (months)Δ 134.6 mo
10.7
LLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Colton Smith hunts takedowns — 4.09 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Colton Smith is a submission threat — 1.36 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Diego Ferreira rarely shoots — 0.82 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Colton Smith

Full career not yet synced for Colton Smith — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Diego Ferreira

Full career not yet synced for Diego Ferreira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

541.64/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
7764.70/min · norm 3.42
762.30/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
5713.46/min · norm 3.37
41.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
39.8%norm 43.5%
51.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
55.9%norm 56.3%
10.45/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.27/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Colton Smith

Distance 76.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 16.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.2% (norm 8.0%)

Diego Ferreira

Distance 88.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 8.3% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Colton Smith

Head 64.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 21.5% (norm 7.9%)

Diego Ferreira

Head 80.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.7% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Smith L/AAccLightweight med Ferreira L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 30 / 100 30.0% 37.9% 602 / 1716 35.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 17 / 22 too few to rate 67.3% 50 / 74 67.6% 67.3%
On the ground 7 / 8 too few to rate 69.1% 124 / 161 77.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 21 / 84 25.0% 35.0% 548 / 1564 35.0% 35.0%
To the body 11 / 18 too few to rate 69.1% 169 / 314 53.8% 69.1%
To the legs 22 / 28 78.6% 81.9% 59 / 73 80.8% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Smith L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Ferreira L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 54 / 120 45.0% 38.9% 423 / 1065 39.7% 38.9%
In the clinch 14 / 26 53.8% 68.6% 42 / 62 67.7% 68.6%
On the ground 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.0% 106 / 168 63.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 68 / 146 46.6% 35.1% 413 / 1069 38.6% 35.1%
To the body 6 / 8 too few to rate 68.1% 106 / 164 64.6% 68.1%
To the legs 2 / 3 too few to rate 81.5% 52 / 62 83.9% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

936.0% acc · 4.09/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
930.0% acc · 0.82/15 · norm 1.38
125.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
4457.9% def · norm 64.0%
15:4847.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
19:2311.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
2:191:03 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
39:493:37 per 15 · norm 2:46
31.36/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
60.55/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ferreira has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.