BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Colby Thicknesse vs.
Josias Musasa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-1-0 Colby Thicknesse · UFC
0-2-0 Josias Musasa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-1-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
27.1
AgeΔ 0.7 yrs
27.8
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
69"
ReachΔ 5"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
3.2
Layoff (months)Δ 7.1 mo
10.3
WWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Colby Thicknesse is a submission threat — 1.67 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Colby Thicknesse's takedown defense leaks — 33% stopped, vs a 67% Bantamweight norm.
Opponents land 56% of their strikes at range on Josias Musasa, vs a 39% Bantamweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Colby Thicknesse

Full career not yet synced for Colby Thicknesse — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -2.0 wins over .500

Josias Musasa

Full career not yet synced for Josias Musasa — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1463.24/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
563.07/min · norm 3.52
1322.93/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
784.27/min · norm 3.58
41.1%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
46.7%norm 43.4%
54.3%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
42.2%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Colby Thicknesse

Distance 74.6% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 20.8% (norm 6.5%)

Josias Musasa

Distance 77.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 20.8% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 1.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Colby Thicknesse

Head 73.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 19.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 8.4%)

Josias Musasa

Head 61.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 28.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Thicknesse L/AAccBantamweight med Musasa L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 93 / 265 35.1% 39.0% 40 / 93 43.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 10 / 16 too few to rate 68.7% 16 / 25 64.0% 68.7%
On the ground 43 / 74 58.1% 70.2% 0 / 2 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 81 / 259 31.3% 34.9% 29 / 74 39.2% 34.9%
To the body 41 / 69 59.4% 66.8% 7 / 12 too few to rate 66.8%
To the legs 24 / 27 88.9% 79.4% 20 / 34 58.8% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Thicknesse L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Musasa L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 104 / 244 42.6% 39.3% 31 / 55 56.4% 39.3%
In the clinch 26 / 40 65.0% 70.4% 4 / 6 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 2 / 5 too few to rate 72.4% 43 / 74 58.1% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 81 / 217 37.3% 34.9% 51 / 105 48.6% 34.9%
To the body 35 / 47 74.5% 66.0% 11 / 13 too few to rate 66.0%
To the legs 16 / 25 64.0% 79.1% 16 / 17 too few to rate 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

27.1% acc · 0.67/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
133.3% acc · 0.82/15 · norm 1.12
233.3% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1487.5% def · norm 66.7%
10:4623.9% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
1:025.7% of cage time · norm 17.4%
9:283:09 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
7:596:33 per 15 · norm 2:24
51.67/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Thicknesse has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.