BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Claudio Ribeiro vs.
Christian Leroy Duncan

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Claudio Ribeiro · UFC
8-2-0 Christian Leroy Duncan · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
8-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
34
AgeΔ 3 yrs
31
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
77"
ReachΔ 2"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
29.1
Layoff (months)Δ 28.5 mo
0.6
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Claudio Ribeiro carries real power — 0.57 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Christian Leroy Duncan rarely shoots — 0.43 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Opponents land 64% of their strikes at range on Claudio Ribeiro, vs a 40% Middleweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Claudio Ribeiro

Full career not yet synced for Claudio Ribeiro — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Christian Leroy Duncan

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 82
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.05 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

923.50/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
4694.45/min · norm 3.25
1314.98/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
2492.36/min · norm 3.20
51.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
58.0%norm 47.4%
29.6%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
54.1%norm 53.8%
10.57/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.43/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Claudio Ribeiro

Distance 74.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 20.7% (norm 10.3%)

Christian Leroy Duncan

Distance 80.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 14.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Claudio Ribeiro

Head 77.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 7.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 14.5% (norm 8.4%)

Christian Leroy Duncan

Head 63.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 22.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ribeiro L/AAccMiddleweight med Duncan L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 60 / 133 45.1% 40.5% 347 / 648 53.5% 40.5%
In the clinch 6 / 9 too few to rate 70.3% 91 / 119 76.5% 70.3%
On the ground 26 / 37 70.3% 69.1% 31 / 42 73.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 59 / 139 42.4% 38.9% 232 / 512 45.3% 38.9%
To the body 11 / 14 too few to rate 71.7% 79 / 116 68.1% 71.7%
To the legs 22 / 26 84.6% 83.3% 158 / 181 87.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ribeiro L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Duncan L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 82 / 128 64.1% 39.5% 194 / 462 42.0% 39.5%
In the clinch 26 / 30 86.7% 70.9% 47 / 70 67.1% 70.9%
On the ground 23 / 28 82.1% 69.0% 8 / 10 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 76 / 125 60.8% 37.9% 132 / 388 34.0% 37.9%
To the body 24 / 28 85.7% 71.3% 52 / 73 71.2% 71.3%
To the legs 31 / 33 93.9% 82.1% 65 / 81 80.2% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

150.0% acc · 0.57/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
320.0% acc · 0.43/15 · norm 1.42
466.7% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2257.9% def · norm 63.1%
4:4217.9% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
21:2720.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
7:574:31 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
31:434:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Duncan has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.