CJ Vergara vs.
Asu Almabayev
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
CJ Vergara
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 4 | 5 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 2 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 6 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.67 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 20 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500
Asu Almabayev
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 7 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 17 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.32 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 27 documented bouts
In the UFC: 5-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
CJ Vergara
Distance 76.8% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 16.9% (norm 7.3%)
Asu Almabayev
Distance 73.2% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 19.4% (norm 7.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
CJ Vergara
Head 63.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 27.0% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 9.6% (norm 9.3%)
Asu Almabayev
Head 71.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.4% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 12.3% (norm 9.3%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Vergara L/A | Acc | Flyweight med | Almabayev L/A | Acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 295 / 560 | 52.7% | 40.0% | 154 / 339 | 45.4% | 40.0% |
| In the clinch | 35 / 46 | 76.1% | 70.4% | 24 / 34 | 70.6% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 84 / 123 | 68.3% | 69.7% | 60 / 90 | 66.7% | 69.7% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 205 / 462 | 44.4% | 37.6% | 128 / 330 | 38.8% | 37.6% |
| To the body | 150 / 197 | 76.1% | 68.5% | 58 / 76 | 76.3% | 68.5% |
| To the legs | 59 / 70 | 84.3% | 80.0% | 52 / 57 | 91.2% | 80.0% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Vergara L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med | vs Almabayev L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 341 / 774 | 44.1% | 40.1% | 154 / 371 | 41.5% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 25 / 33 | 75.8% | 68.8% | 29 / 44 | 65.9% | 68.8% |
| On the ground | 27 / 37 | 73.0% | 71.1% | 19 / 22 | too few to rate | 71.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 248 / 659 | 37.6% | 35.2% | 102 / 280 | 36.4% | 35.2% |
| To the body | 95 / 129 | 73.6% | 68.2% | 67 / 104 | 64.4% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 50 / 56 | 89.3% | 80.3% | 33 / 53 | 62.3% | 80.3% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Vergara has more cage time on record.