Chris Padilla vs.
MarQuel Mederos
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Chris Padilla
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 3 | 2 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 3 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 10 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 22 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500
MarQuel Mederos
Full career not yet synced for MarQuel Mederos — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Chris Padilla
Distance 88.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 8.0%)
MarQuel Mederos
Distance 88.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Chris Padilla
Head 58.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 29.1% (norm 7.9%)
MarQuel Mederos
Head 71.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 17.2% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Padilla L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Mederos L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 273 / 540 | 50.6% | 37.9% | 272 / 497 | 54.7% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 40 / 47 | 85.1% | 67.3% | 40 / 44 | 90.9% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 17 / 22 | too few to rate | 69.1% | 14 / 18 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 166 / 353 | 47.0% | 35.0% | 193 / 399 | 48.4% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 55 / 79 | 69.6% | 69.1% | 53 / 64 | 82.8% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 109 / 177 | 61.6% | 81.9% | 80 / 96 | 83.3% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Padilla L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Mederos L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 232 / 480 | 48.3% | 38.9% | 254 / 553 | 45.9% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 28 / 34 | 82.4% | 68.6% | 28 / 41 | 68.3% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 4 / 5 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 160 / 393 | 40.7% | 35.1% | 176 / 432 | 40.7% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 48 / 62 | 77.4% | 68.1% | 54 / 84 | 64.3% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 52 / 59 | 88.1% | 81.5% | 56 / 83 | 67.5% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Padilla has more cage time on record.